Handball · Poland SuperLiga · 21/09, 18:00

Prediction: KS Kielce vs MMTS Kwidzyn

Team pages: KS Kielce · MMTS Kwidzyn

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.3Total

KS Kielce34.8

MMTS Kwidzyn26.4

1X2

91% 9%

KS Kielce MMTS Kwidzyn

Recent form · 10 last

KS Kielce 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

MMTS Kwidzyn 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

KS Kielce 6–0 MMTS Kwidzyn (6 last)

MMTS Kwidzyn25-38KS Kielce
KS Kielce38-23MMTS Kwidzyn
KS Kielce36-26MMTS Kwidzyn
MMTS Kwidzyn21-32KS Kielce
KS Kielce40-25MMTS Kwidzyn
MMTS Kwidzyn28-43KS Kielce

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KS Kielce 1655 · MMTS Kwidzyn 1477

	KS Kielce	MMTS Kwidzyn
Our model	81%	19%
Market	97%	1%

Estimated total (ours) 61.3 points · Bet365 line 66.5 · -5.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.3KS Kielce 34.8 · MMTS Kwidzyn 26.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KS Kielce (rating 1655 vs 1477).
KS Kielce is a clear favourite (91% market).
H2H favours KS Kielce: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	KS Kielce	MMTS Kwidzyn
Points F\|A (Last 10)	36.9 / 26.2	27.9 / 30.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	35.8 / 27.2	28.8 / 31.6
Est. result	35	26

Est. total61.3

Line O/U66.5

Diff.5.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.00

X67.00

267.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-15.5)1.75

2 (+15.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 66.51.85

Under 66.51.85

Diff.: 5.9 · Est. total: 60.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.00 → 1.00	Bet365 1.00
X	67.00 → 67.00	Bet365 67.00
2	67.00 → 67.00	Bet365 67.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 2.9%

Time*	1	X	2
04:31 +26’	1.00	67.00	67.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KS Kielce 6–0–0 MMTS Kwidzyn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Poland SuperLiga	MMTS Kwidzyn	25-38	KS Kielce
04/10/25 Poland SuperLiga	KS Kielce	38-23	MMTS Kwidzyn
07/12/24 Poland SuperLiga	KS Kielce	36-26	MMTS Kwidzyn
31/08/24 Poland SuperLiga	MMTS Kwidzyn	21-32	KS Kielce
13/04/24 Poland SuperLiga	KS Kielce	40-25	MMTS Kwidzyn
06/04/24 Poland SuperLiga	MMTS Kwidzyn	28-43	KS Kielce

Standings · Poland SuperLiga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chrobry Glogow	3	3	0	96	65	9
2	KPR Legionowo	2	2	0	56	54	6
3	Wisla Plock	2	2	0	83	51	6
4	KS Kielce	2	2	0	83	61	6
5	Wybrzeze Gdansk	3	2	1	99	86	6
6	Gwardia Opole	2	1	1	53	52	3
7	WKS Slask Wroclaw	3	1	2	76	83	3
8	MMTS Kwidzyn	2	1	1	53	70	3
9	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	2	0	2	62	69	0
10	Stal Mielec	2	0	2	49	59	0
11	MKS Kalisz	2	0	2	55	71	0
12	MKS Piotrkowianin	3	0	3	72	116	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KS Kielce	MMTS Kwidzyn
MKS Kalisz	37-31 W	34-24 W
Wisla Plock	36-27 W	19-46 L
KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	30-23 W	33-27 W
Stal Mielec	41-27 W	30-26 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: KS Kielce (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KS Kielce

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/09	MKS Piotrkowianin Poland SuperLiga	46-30	W
05/09	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	37-31	W
31/05	Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga	36-27	W
24/05	Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga	30-25	W
08/05	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	30-23	W
03/05	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	34-26	W
25/04	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	40-24	W
22/04	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	37-21	W
12/04	Stal Mielec Poland SuperLiga	41-27	W
04/04	KPR Legionowo Poland SuperLiga	38-28	W

MMTS Kwidzyn

WWWLLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/09	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	34-24	W
04/09	Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga	19-46	L
09/05	Stal Mielec Poland SuperLiga	30-26	W
02/05	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	28-35	L
27/04	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	33-27	W
23/04	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	23-31	L
06/04	Gwardia Opole Poland SuperLiga	22-29	L
29/03	Wybrzeze Gdansk Poland SuperLiga	30-28	W
13/03	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	30-29	W
09/03	Stal Mielec Poland SuperLiga	30-27	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KS Kielce vs MMTS Kwidzyn?

Our model gives 91% to KS Kielce.

How many points are expected in KS Kielce vs MMTS Kwidzyn?

The model estimates 61.3 total points (KS Kielce 34.8 · MMTS Kwidzyn 26.4).