Handball · Poland SuperLiga · 10/10, 15:00

Prediction: Stal Mielec vs KS Kielce

Team pages: Stal Mielec · KS Kielce

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.9Total

Stal Mielec25.7

KS Kielce34.2

1X2

13% 87%

Stal Mielec KS Kielce

Markets

Under 67.5 points 80%

Recent form · 10 last

Stal Mielec 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLL

KS Kielce 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Stal Mielec 0–6 KS Kielce (6 last)

Stal Mielec27-41KS Kielce
KS Kielce41-25Stal Mielec
Stal Mielec23-36KS Kielce
Stal Mielec30-41KS Kielce
KS Kielce35-28Stal Mielec
Stal Mielec24-33KS Kielce

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stal Mielec 1388 · KS Kielce 1618

	Stal Mielec	KS Kielce
Our model	28%	72%
Market	2%	95%

Estimated total (ours) 59.9 points · Bet365 line 67.5 · -7.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.9Stal Mielec 25.7 · KS Kielce 34.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KS Kielce (rating 1388 vs 1618).
KS Kielce is a clear favourite (87% market).
H2H favours KS Kielce: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Stal Mielec	KS Kielce
Points F\|A (Last 10)	24 / 31.4	37.1 / 26.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	24 / 30	40.8 / 25.8
Est. result	26	34

Est. total59.9

Line O/U67.5

Diff.7.6

Over / Under20% / 80%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

140.00

X40.00

21.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+13.5)1.85

2 (-13.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 67.51.85

Under 67.51.85

Diff.: 8.2 · Est. total: 59.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	40.00 → 45.00▲	Bet365 45.00
X	40.00 → 40.00	Bet365 40.00
2	1.00 → 1.00	Bet365 1.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 4.5%

Time*	1	X	2
07:10 +6’	40.00	40.00	1.00
11:59 +17’	45.00▲	40.00	1.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 2 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stal Mielec 0–0–6 KS Kielce

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Poland SuperLiga	Stal Mielec	27-41	KS Kielce
29/11/25 Poland SuperLiga	KS Kielce	41-25	Stal Mielec
12/04/25 Poland Cup	Stal Mielec	23-36	KS Kielce
09/04/22 Poland SuperLiga	Stal Mielec	30-41	KS Kielce
13/11/21 Poland SuperLiga	KS Kielce	35-28	Stal Mielec
02/06/21 Poland SuperLiga	Stal Mielec	24-33	KS Kielce

Standings · Poland SuperLiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KS Kielce	7	7	0	0	275	187	21
2	Wisla Plock	6	6	0	0	229	147	18
3	Chrobry Glogow	6	5	0	1	189	159	15
4	Wybrzeze Gdansk	6	4	0	2	202	172	12
5	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	6	3	0	3	188	199	9
6	Gwardia Opole	6	2	1	3	183	188	8
7	KPR Legionowo	5	2	1	2	128	152	7
8	MMTS Kwidzyn	5	2	0	3	142	165	6
9	MKS Kalisz	5	1	1	3	140	149	5
10	WKS Slask Wroclaw	6	1	1	4	165	208	4
11	Stal Mielec	6	0	0	6	147	184	0
12	MKS Piotrkowianin	6	0	0	6	149	227	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stal Mielec	KS Kielce
MKS Kalisz	21-28 L	37-31 W
Wisla Plock	23-35 L	36-27 W
MMTS Kwidzyn	26-30 L	39-22 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: KS Kielce (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stal Mielec

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/10	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	21-28	L
28/09	Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga	23-35	L
21/09	Gwardia Opole Poland SuperLiga	27-28	L
14/09	Wybrzeze Gdansk Poland SuperLiga	24-28	L
05/09	Chrobry Glogow Poland SuperLiga	25-31	L
09/05	MMTS Kwidzyn Poland SuperLiga	26-30	L
02/05	Chrobry Glogow Poland SuperLiga	22-28	L
25/04	Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga	22-30	L
22/04	Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga	23-35	L
12/04	KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga	27-41	L

KS Kielce

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	KPR Legionowo Poland SuperLiga	34-22	W
30/09	WKS Slask Wroclaw Poland SuperLiga	43-26	W
27/09	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	42-29	W
21/09	MMTS Kwidzyn Poland SuperLiga	39-22	W
12/09	MKS Piotrkowianin Poland SuperLiga	46-30	W
05/09	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	37-31	W
31/05	Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga	36-27	W
24/05	Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga	30-25	W
08/05	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	30-23	W
03/05	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	34-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stal Mielec vs KS Kielce?

Our model gives 87% to KS Kielce.

How many points are expected in Stal Mielec vs KS Kielce?

The model estimates 59.9 total points (Stal Mielec 25.7 · KS Kielce 34.2).