Handball · Poland SuperLiga · 12/10, 18:00
Prediction: KPR Legionowo vs MMTS Kwidzyn
Team pages: KPR Legionowo · MMTS Kwidzyn
Prediction summary
Estimated points
57.6Total
KPR Legionowo31
MMTS Kwidzyn26.6
1X2
KPR Legionowo
MMTS Kwidzyn
Recent form · 10 last
KPR Legionowo
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
MMTS Kwidzyn
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KPR Legionowo
1–5
MMTS Kwidzyn
(6 last)
- MMTS Kwidzyn31-26KPR Legionowo
- KPR Legionowo26-24MMTS Kwidzyn
- KPR Legionowo25-28MMTS Kwidzyn
- MMTS Kwidzyn33-29KPR Legionowo
- KPR Legionowo22-26MMTS Kwidzyn
- MMTS Kwidzyn35-26KPR Legionowo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · KPR Legionowo 1533 · MMTS Kwidzyn 1469
| KPR Legionowo | MMTS Kwidzyn | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 46% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
57.6 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -2.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points57.6KPR Legionowo 31 · MMTS Kwidzyn 26.6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KPR Legionowo (rating 1533 vs 1469).
- H2H favours MMTS Kwidzyn: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| KPR Legionowo | MMTS Kwidzyn | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 30 / 26.8 | 27.8 / 31.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 25 / 29.6 | 28.4 / 33 |
| Est. result | 31 | 27 |
Est. total57.6
Line O/U60.5
Diff.2.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · KPR Legionowo 1–0–5 MMTS Kwidzyn
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Poland SuperLiga | MMTS Kwidzyn | 31-26 | KPR Legionowo |
| 18/10/25 Poland SuperLiga | KPR Legionowo | 26-24 | MMTS Kwidzyn |
| 26/04/25 Poland SuperLiga | KPR Legionowo | 25-28 | MMTS Kwidzyn |
| 11/12/24 Poland SuperLiga | MMTS Kwidzyn | 33-29 | KPR Legionowo |
| 04/09/24 Poland SuperLiga | KPR Legionowo | 22-26 | MMTS Kwidzyn |
| 20/03/24 Poland SuperLiga | MMTS Kwidzyn | 35-26 | KPR Legionowo |
Standings · Poland SuperLiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KS Kielce | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 275 | 187 | 21 |
| 2 | Wisla Plock | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 147 | 18 |
| 3 | Chrobry Glogow | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 189 | 159 | 15 |
| 4 | Wybrzeze Gdansk | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 202 | 172 | 12 |
| 5 | KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 188 | 199 | 9 |
| 6 | Gwardia Opole | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 183 | 188 | 8 |
| 7 | KPR Legionowo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 128 | 152 | 7 |
| 8 | MMTS Kwidzyn | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 142 | 165 | 6 |
| 9 | MKS Kalisz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 140 | 149 | 5 |
| 10 | WKS Slask Wroclaw | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 165 | 208 | 4 |
| 11 | Stal Mielec | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 147 | 184 | 0 |
| 12 | MKS Piotrkowianin | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 149 | 227 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KPR Legionowo | MMTS Kwidzyn |
|---|---|---|
| KS Kielce | 22-34 L | 22-39 L |
| MKS Kalisz | 23-23 D | 34-24 W |
| Wisla Plock | 24-37 L | 19-46 L |
| Gwardia Opole | 22-21 W | 22-29 L |
| MKS Piotrkowianin | 36-20 W | 39-24 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: KPR Legionowo (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KPR Legionowo
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga |
22-34 | L |
| 26/09 | MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga |
23-23 | D |
| 20/09 | Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga |
24-37 | L |
| 13/09 | Gwardia Opole Poland SuperLiga |
22-21 | W |
| 06/09 | Wybrzeze Gdansk Poland SuperLiga |
34-33 | W |
| 10/05 | Gwardia Opole Poland SuperLiga |
28-24 | W |
| 06/05 | MKS Piotrkowianin Poland SuperLiga |
36-20 | W |
| 02/05 | KS Azoty Pulawy Poland SuperLiga |
37-27 | W |
| 27/04 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland SuperLiga |
33-25 | W |
| 11/04 | KS Azoty Pulawy Poland SuperLiga |
41-24 | W |
MMTS Kwidzyn
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga |
28-32 | L |
| 26/09 | MKS Piotrkowianin Poland SuperLiga |
39-24 | W |
| 21/09 | KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga |
22-39 | L |
| 09/09 | MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga |
34-24 | W |
| 04/09 | Wisla Plock Poland SuperLiga |
19-46 | L |
| 09/05 | Stal Mielec Poland SuperLiga |
30-26 | W |
| 02/05 | MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga |
28-35 | L |
| 27/04 | KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga |
33-27 | W |
| 23/04 | KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga |
23-31 | L |
| 06/04 | Gwardia Opole Poland SuperLiga |
22-29 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KPR Legionowo vs MMTS Kwidzyn?
Our model gives 58% to KPR Legionowo.
How many points are expected in KPR Legionowo vs MMTS Kwidzyn?
The model estimates 57.6 total points (KPR Legionowo 31 · MMTS Kwidzyn 26.6).