Handball · Poland SuperLiga · 11/10, 15:00

Prediction: Chrobry Glogow vs Wisla Plock

Team pages: Chrobry Glogow · Wisla Plock

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.4Total

Chrobry Glogow27.5

Wisla Plock30.9

1X2

24% 76%

Chrobry Glogow Wisla Plock

Recent form · 10 last

Chrobry Glogow 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWWWWW

Wisla Plock 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Chrobry Glogow 0–6 Wisla Plock (6 last)

Wisla Plock36-24Chrobry Glogow
Chrobry Glogow25-33Wisla Plock
Chrobry Glogow28-35Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock35-14Chrobry Glogow
Chrobry Glogow19-36Wisla Plock
Chrobry Glogow25-37Wisla Plock

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chrobry Glogow 1533 · Wisla Plock 1615

	Chrobry Glogow	Wisla Plock
Our model	48%	52%
Market	8%	87%

Estimated total (ours) 58.4 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -3.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.4Chrobry Glogow 27.5 · Wisla Plock 30.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wisla Plock (rating 1533 vs 1615).
Wisla Plock is a clear favourite (76% market).
H2H favours Wisla Plock: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Chrobry Glogow	Wisla Plock
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.4 / 27.7	35 / 25
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33 / 25.6	39.6 / 24.6
Est. result	28	31

Est. total58.4

Line O/U61.5

Diff.3.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

112.00

X18.00

21.03

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+9.5)1.75

2 (-9.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 1.95 · Est. total: 59.55

Market movement

Match winner · 7 moves · last 14:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	17.00 → 12.00▼	Bet365 12.00
X	20.00 → 18.00▼	Bet365 18.00
2	1.00 → 1.03▲	Bet365 1.03

See the full journey (7)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
08:02 +13’	17.00	20.00	1.00
09:01 +14’	12.00▼	18.00▼	1.03▲
09:45 +30’	17.00▲	20.00▲	1.00▼
11:11 +4’	11.00▼	16.00▼	1.04▲
12:08 +7’	12.00▲	18.00▲	1.03▼
13:00 +15’	11.00▼	16.00▼	1.04▲
14:15 +1’	12.00▲	18.00▲	1.03▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chrobry Glogow 0–0–6 Wisla Plock

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Poland SuperLiga	Wisla Plock	36-24	Chrobry Glogow
04/10/25 Poland SuperLiga	Chrobry Glogow	25-33	Wisla Plock
10/12/24 Poland SuperLiga	Chrobry Glogow	28-35	Wisla Plock
04/09/24 Poland SuperLiga	Wisla Plock	35-14	Chrobry Glogow
04/05/24 Poland Cup	Chrobry Glogow	19-36	Wisla Plock
17/12/23 Poland SuperLiga	Chrobry Glogow	25-37	Wisla Plock

Standings · Poland SuperLiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KS Kielce	7	7	0	0	275	187	21
2	Wisla Plock	6	6	0	0	229	147	18
3	Chrobry Glogow	6	5	0	1	189	159	15
4	Wybrzeze Gdansk	6	4	0	2	202	172	12
5	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski	6	3	0	3	188	199	9
6	Gwardia Opole	6	2	1	3	183	188	8
7	KPR Legionowo	5	2	1	2	128	152	7
8	MMTS Kwidzyn	5	2	0	3	142	165	6
9	MKS Kalisz	5	1	1	3	140	149	5
10	WKS Slask Wroclaw	6	1	1	4	165	208	4
11	Stal Mielec	6	0	0	6	147	184	0
12	MKS Piotrkowianin	6	0	0	6	149	227	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chrobry Glogow	Wisla Plock
Wybrzeze Gdansk	32-31 W	38-18 W
WKS Slask Wroclaw	24-19 W	43-25 W
Stal Mielec	31-25 W	35-23 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Wisla Plock (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chrobry Glogow

WLLWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	Gwardia Opole Poland SuperLiga	37-32	W
26/09	Wybrzeze Gdansk Poland SuperLiga	32-31	W
19/09	MKS Piotrkowianin Poland SuperLiga	41-21	W
13/09	WKS Slask Wroclaw Poland SuperLiga	24-19	W
05/09	Stal Mielec Poland SuperLiga	31-25	W
10/05	MKS Kalisz Poland SuperLiga	28-33	L
02/05	Stal Mielec Poland SuperLiga	28-22	W
29/04	Wybrzeze Gdansk Poland SuperLiga	34-36	L
26/04	Wybrzeze Gdansk Poland SuperLiga	25-33	L
11/04	MKS Piotrkowianin Poland SuperLiga	34-25	W

Wisla Plock

WWWLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	WKS Slask Wroclaw Poland SuperLiga	43-25	W
28/09	Stal Mielec Poland SuperLiga	35-23	W
20/09	KPR Legionowo Poland SuperLiga	37-24	W
12/09	KPR Ostrovia Ostrow Wielkopolski Poland SuperLiga	37-32	W
04/09	MMTS Kwidzyn Poland SuperLiga	46-19	W
31/05	KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga	27-36	L
24/05	KS Kielce Poland SuperLiga	25-30	L
09/05	Wybrzeze Gdansk Poland SuperLiga	38-18	W
04/05	Wybrzeze Gdansk Poland SuperLiga	32-21	W
25/04	Stal Mielec Poland SuperLiga	30-22	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chrobry Glogow vs Wisla Plock?

Our model gives 76% to Wisla Plock.

How many points are expected in Chrobry Glogow vs Wisla Plock?

The model estimates 58.4 total points (Chrobry Glogow 27.5 · Wisla Plock 30.9).