Handball · Norway Eliteserien · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: Follo vs Runar Sandefjord

Team pages: Follo · Runar Sandefjord

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.1Total

Follo29.8

Runar Sandefjord32.3

1X2

42% 58%

Follo Runar Sandefjord

Recent form · 10 last

Follo 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLLWLWLW

Runar Sandefjord 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWLWWW

Head-to-head

Follo 1–5 Runar Sandefjord (6 last)

Runar Sandefjord30-29Follo
Follo38-32Runar Sandefjord
Runar Sandefjord40-32Follo
Runar Sandefjord32-28Follo
Follo30-34Runar Sandefjord
Runar Sandefjord38-26Follo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Follo 1474 · Runar Sandefjord 1586

	Follo	Runar Sandefjord
Our model	44%	56%
Market	36%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 62.1 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -1.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.1Follo 29.8 · Runar Sandefjord 32.3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Runar Sandefjord (rating 1474 vs 1586).
H2H favours Runar Sandefjord: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Follo	Runar Sandefjord
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.1 / 30.8	30.5 / 29.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.6 / 29	31.8 / 29.4
Est. result	30	32

Est. total62.1

Line O/U63.5

Diff.1.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.50

X8.50

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.75

2 (-1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 63.51.75

Under 63.51.95

Diff.: 2.55 · Est. total: 60.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:50 +11’	2.50	8.50	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Follo 1–0–5 Runar Sandefjord

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/08/26 Club Friendlies	Runar Sandefjord	30-29	Follo
01/03/26 Norway Eliteserien	Follo	38-32	Runar Sandefjord
26/10/25 Norway Eliteserien	Runar Sandefjord	40-32	Follo
21/09/25 Norway Cup	Runar Sandefjord	32-28	Follo
14/12/24 Norway Eliteserien	Follo	30-34	Runar Sandefjord
07/09/24 Norway Eliteserien	Runar Sandefjord	38-26	Follo

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elverum	3	3	0	0	102	83	6
2	Runar Sandefjord	3	3	0	0	95	78	6
3	Sandefjord	2	2	0	0	70	66	4
4	Nærbø IL	3	2	0	1	84	81	4
5	Follo	3	2	0	1	84	82	4
6	Fjellhammer	3	1	1	1	79	81	3
7	Kolstad	3	2	0	1	97	80	2
8	OIF Arendal	2	1	0	1	55	52	2
9	Drammen	2	1	0	1	56	54	2
10	Viking TIF	2	1	0	1	62	67	2
11	Kristiansand	3	0	1	2	85	92	1
12	Sandnes	3	0	0	3	78	95	0
13	Bergsoy	3	0	0	3	84	102	0
14	Bergen Handball	3	0	0	3	76	94	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Follo	Runar Sandefjord
Drammen	28-27 W	25-34 L
Sandnes	27-22 W	28-22 W
Nærbø IL	34-31 W	31-23 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Runar Sandefjord (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Follo

WWLLLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/09	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	28-27	W
06/09	OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien	29-33	L
30/08	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	27-22	W
11/04	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	30-32	L
08/04	Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien	34-31	W
28/03	Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien	32-36	L
15/03	Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien	32-33	L
08/03	OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien	24-29	L
01/03	Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	38-32	W
22/02	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	37-33	W

Runar Sandefjord

LWLWLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/09	Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien	31-23	W
02/09	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	34-31	W
29/08	Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien	30-24	W
25/04	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	25-34	L
22/04	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	39-35	W
19/04	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	28-34	L
11/04	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	28-22	W
08/04	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	31-35	L
15/03	Bækkelaget Norway Eliteserien	33-27	W
11/03	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	26-30	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Follo vs Runar Sandefjord?

Our model gives 58% to Runar Sandefjord.

How many points are expected in Follo vs Runar Sandefjord?

The model estimates 62.1 total points (Follo 29.8 · Runar Sandefjord 32.3).