Handball · Norway Eliteserien · 20/09, 17:00
Prediction: Sandefjord vs Nærbø IL
Team pages: Sandefjord · Nærbø IL
Prediction summary
Estimated points
59.3Total
Sandefjord30.5
Nærbø IL28.8
1X2
Sandefjord
Nærbø IL
Recent form · 10 last
Sandefjord
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Nærbø IL
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sandefjord
2–1–3
Nærbø IL
(6 last)
- Nærbø IL32-33Sandefjord
- Sandefjord25-24Nærbø IL
- Nærbø IL29-29Sandefjord
- Sandefjord33-34Nærbø IL
- Nærbø IL31-27Sandefjord
- Nærbø IL30-28Sandefjord
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sandefjord 1553 · Nærbø IL 1468
| Sandefjord | Nærbø IL | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 68% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
59.3 points · Bet365 line 63.5 · -4.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points59.3Sandefjord 30.5 · Nærbø IL 28.8
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sandefjord (rating 1553 vs 1468).
- Sandefjord is a clear favourite (73% market).
- H2H favours Nærbø IL: 3-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sandefjord | Nærbø IL | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 30.5 / 31.2 | 28.1 / 29.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 31.8 / 31.8 | 26.8 / 29.8 |
| Est. result | 31 | 29 |
Est. total59.3
Line O/U63.5
Diff.4.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandefjord 2–1–3 Nærbø IL
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/25 Norway Eliteserien | Nærbø IL | 32-33 | Sandefjord |
| 07/09/25 Norway Eliteserien | Sandefjord | 25-24 | Nærbø IL |
| 27/03/22 Norway Eliteserien | Nærbø IL | 29-29 | Sandefjord |
| 03/10/21 Norway Eliteserien | Sandefjord | 33-34 | Nærbø IL |
| 28/10/20 Norway Eliteserien | Nærbø IL | 31-27 | Sandefjord |
| 14/02/18 Norway 1st Division | Nærbø IL | 30-28 | Sandefjord |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elverum | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 102 | 83 | 6 |
| 2 | Runar Sandefjord | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 78 | 6 |
| 3 | Sandefjord | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 70 | 66 | 4 |
| 4 | Nærbø IL | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 84 | 81 | 4 |
| 5 | Follo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 84 | 82 | 4 |
| 6 | Fjellhammer | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 79 | 81 | 3 |
| 7 | Kolstad | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 97 | 80 | 2 |
| 8 | OIF Arendal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 55 | 52 | 2 |
| 9 | Drammen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 54 | 2 |
| 10 | Viking TIF | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 62 | 67 | 2 |
| 11 | Kristiansand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 85 | 92 | 1 |
| 12 | Sandnes | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 78 | 95 | 0 |
| 13 | Bergsoy | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 84 | 102 | 0 |
| 14 | Bergen Handball | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 76 | 94 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sandefjord | Nærbø IL |
|---|---|---|
| Bergsoy | 39-36 W | 30-25 W |
| Kristiansand | 31-30 W | 31-25 W |
| Bergen Handball | 31-37 L | 27-29 L |
| OIF Arendal | 32-30 W | 33-29 W |
| Runar Sandefjord | 30-26 W | 23-31 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Nærbø IL (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sandefjord
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Bergsoy Norway Eliteserien |
39-36 | W |
| 06/09 | Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien |
31-30 | W |
| 21/04 | Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien |
31-37 | L |
| 15/04 | Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien |
26-34 | L |
| 11/04 | Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien |
32-22 | W |
| 08/04 | OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien |
32-30 | W |
| 15/03 | Sandnes Norway Eliteserien |
28-34 | L |
| 11/03 | Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
30-26 | W |
| 08/03 | Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien |
30-29 | W |
| 27/02 | Elverum Norway Eliteserien |
26-34 | L |
Nærbø IL
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
23-31 | L |
| 06/09 | Bergsoy Norway Eliteserien |
30-25 | W |
| 29/08 | Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien |
31-25 | W |
| 22/04 | Kolstad Norway Eliteserien |
24-33 | L |
| 15/04 | Kolstad Norway Eliteserien |
26-35 | L |
| 11/04 | Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien |
27-29 | L |
| 08/04 | Follo Norway Eliteserien |
31-34 | L |
| 15/03 | Drammen Norway Eliteserien |
29-33 | L |
| 08/03 | Halden Norway Eliteserien |
27-23 | W |
| 04/03 | OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien |
33-29 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sandefjord vs Nærbø IL?
Our model gives 73% to Sandefjord.
How many points are expected in Sandefjord vs Nærbø IL?
The model estimates 59.3 total points (Sandefjord 30.5 · Nærbø IL 28.8).