Handball · Norway Eliteserien · 20/09, 18:00
Prediction: Sandnes vs Drammen
Prediction summary
Estimated points
56.3Total
Sandnes26.5
Drammen29.8
1X2
Sandnes
Drammen
Markets
Under 60.5 points 68%
Recent form · 10 last
Sandnes
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Drammen
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sandnes
0–1–5
Drammen
(6 last)
- Sandnes26-33Drammen
- Drammen30-26Sandnes
- Sandnes28-32Drammen
- Drammen38-23Sandnes
- Sandnes30-30Drammen
- Drammen29-21Sandnes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sandnes 1425 · Drammen 1526
| Sandnes | Drammen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 10% | 83% |
Estimated total (ours)
56.3 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -4.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points56.3Sandnes 26.5 · Drammen 29.8
Over / Under 60.5Under · 68%recent trend · ~55.7 pts · strength 5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Drammen (rating 1425 vs 1526).
- Drammen is a clear favourite (75% market).
- H2H favours Drammen: 5-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sandnes | Drammen | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 24.4 / 29.6 | 30.4 / 30.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 26.8 / 27.4 | 28.6 / 31.8 |
| Est. result | 27 | 30 |
Est. total56.3
Line O/U60.5
Diff.4.2
Over / Under32% / 68%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandnes 0–1–5 Drammen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/26 Norway Eliteserien | Sandnes | 26-33 | Drammen |
| 18/09/25 Norway Eliteserien | Drammen | 30-26 | Sandnes |
| 19/02/25 Norway Eliteserien | Sandnes | 28-32 | Drammen |
| 16/10/24 Norway Eliteserien | Drammen | 38-23 | Sandnes |
| 13/12/23 Norway Eliteserien | Sandnes | 30-30 | Drammen |
| 09/09/23 Norway Eliteserien | Drammen | 29-21 | Sandnes |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elverum | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 102 | 83 | 6 |
| 2 | Runar Sandefjord | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 95 | 78 | 6 |
| 3 | Sandefjord | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 70 | 66 | 4 |
| 4 | Nærbø IL | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 84 | 81 | 4 |
| 5 | Follo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 84 | 82 | 4 |
| 6 | Fjellhammer | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 79 | 81 | 3 |
| 7 | Kolstad | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 97 | 80 | 2 |
| 8 | OIF Arendal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 55 | 52 | 2 |
| 9 | Drammen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 54 | 2 |
| 10 | Viking TIF | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 62 | 67 | 2 |
| 11 | Kristiansand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 85 | 92 | 1 |
| 12 | Sandnes | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 78 | 95 | 0 |
| 13 | Bergsoy | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 84 | 102 | 0 |
| 14 | Bergen Handball | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 76 | 94 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sandnes | Drammen |
|---|---|---|
| Elverum | 27-33 L | 33-32 W |
| Follo | 22-27 L | 27-28 L |
| Runar Sandefjord | 22-28 L | 34-25 W |
| Fjellhammer | 14-28 L | 29-26 W |
| Kolstad | 16-40 L | 24-39 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Drammen (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sandnes
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Elverum Norway Eliteserien |
27-33 | L |
| 06/09 | Viking TIF Norway Eliteserien |
29-35 | L |
| 30/08 | Follo Norway Eliteserien |
22-27 | L |
| 29/04 | Bodø HK Norway Eliteserien |
29-22 | W |
| 22/04 | Bodø HK Norway Eliteserien |
27-20 | W |
| 11/04 | Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
22-28 | L |
| 08/04 | Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien |
14-28 | L |
| 27/03 | Elverum Norway Eliteserien |
24-35 | L |
| 15/03 | Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
34-28 | W |
| 08/03 | Kolstad Norway Eliteserien |
16-40 | L |
Drammen
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Follo Norway Eliteserien |
27-28 | L |
| 06/09 | Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien |
29-26 | W |
| 27/05 | Kolstad Norway Eliteserien |
24-39 | L |
| 23/05 | Kolstad Norway Eliteserien |
30-34 | L |
| 06/05 | Elverum Norway Eliteserien |
33-32 | W |
| 02/05 | Elverum Norway Eliteserien |
26-26 | D |
| 25/04 | Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
34-25 | W |
| 22/04 | Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
35-39 | L |
| 19/04 | Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
34-28 | W |
| 11/04 | Follo Norway Eliteserien |
32-30 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sandnes vs Drammen?
Our model gives 75% to Drammen.
How many points are expected in Sandnes vs Drammen?
The model estimates 56.3 total points (Sandnes 26.5 · Drammen 29.8).
Over or under 60.5 points?
Recent history points to under 60.5 points (68%).