Handball · Norway Eliteserien · 26/09, 16:00
Prediction: Kolstad vs Follo
Prediction summary
Estimated points
60.4Total
Kolstad31.8
Follo28.6
1X2
Kolstad
Follo
Recent form · 10 last
Kolstad
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Follo
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kolstad
5–1–0
Follo
(6 last)
- Follo29-29Kolstad
- Kolstad36-21Follo
- Kolstad43-30Follo
- Follo26-33Kolstad
- Follo25-26Kolstad
- Kolstad34-23Follo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kolstad 1582 · Follo 1453
| Kolstad | Follo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 24% |
| Market | 78% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
60.4 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -1.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points60.4Kolstad 31.8 · Follo 28.6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kolstad (rating 1582 vs 1453).
- Kolstad is a clear favourite (81% market).
- H2H favours Kolstad: 5-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Kolstad | Follo | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 32.9 / 27.7 | 29.6 / 30.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 32.2 / 25.6 | 27.2 / 29.4 |
| Est. result | 32 | 29 |
Est. total60.4
Line O/U61.5
Diff.1.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kolstad 5–1–0 Follo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/26 Norway Eliteserien | Follo | 29-29 | Kolstad |
| 14/09/25 Norway Eliteserien | Kolstad | 36-21 | Follo |
| 23/02/25 Norway Eliteserien | Kolstad | 43-30 | Follo |
| 27/10/24 Norway Eliteserien | Follo | 26-33 | Kolstad |
| 14/12/19 Norway Eliteserien | Follo | 25-26 | Kolstad |
| 04/09/19 Norway Eliteserien | Kolstad | 34-23 | Follo |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elverum | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 129 | 10 |
| 2 | Runar Sandefjord | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 100 | 8 |
| 3 | Sandefjord | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 106 | 100 | 6 |
| 4 | Follo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 106 | 115 | 4 |
| 5 | Kolstad | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 122 | 104 | 4 |
| 6 | Nærbø IL | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 118 | 117 | 4 |
| 7 | Viking TIF | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 92 | 91 | 4 |
| 8 | Drammen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 86 | 76 | 4 |
| 9 | Fjellhammer | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 103 | 106 | 3 |
| 10 | Bergen Handball | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 111 | 127 | 2 |
| 11 | OIF Arendal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 88 | 87 | 2 |
| 12 | Kristiansand | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 109 | 124 | 1 |
| 13 | Sandnes | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 100 | 125 | 0 |
| 14 | Bergsoy | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 130 | 169 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kolstad | Follo |
|---|---|---|
| Fjellhammer | 25-24 W | 32-33 L |
| Runar Sandefjord | 31-34 L | 22-33 L |
| Drammen | 39-24 W | 28-27 W |
| Nærbø IL | 33-24 W | 34-31 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Kolstad (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kolstad
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien |
25-24 | W |
| 12/09 | Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien |
33-23 | W |
| 02/09 | Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
31-34 | L |
| 29/08 | Bergsoy Norway Eliteserien |
33-23 | W |
| 27/05 | Drammen Norway Eliteserien |
39-24 | W |
| 23/05 | Drammen Norway Eliteserien |
34-30 | W |
| 09/05 | Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien |
38-32 | W |
| 05/05 | Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien |
33-30 | W |
| 30/04 | Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien |
30-33 | L |
| 22/04 | Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien |
33-24 | W |
Follo
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
22-33 | L |
| 13/09 | Drammen Norway Eliteserien |
28-27 | W |
| 06/09 | OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien |
29-33 | L |
| 30/08 | Sandnes Norway Eliteserien |
27-22 | W |
| 11/04 | Drammen Norway Eliteserien |
30-32 | L |
| 08/04 | Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien |
34-31 | W |
| 28/03 | Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien |
32-36 | L |
| 15/03 | Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien |
32-33 | L |
| 08/03 | OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien |
24-29 | L |
| 01/03 | Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
38-32 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kolstad vs Follo?
Our model gives 81% to Kolstad.
How many points are expected in Kolstad vs Follo?
The model estimates 60.4 total points (Kolstad 31.8 · Follo 28.6).