Handball · Norway Eliteserien · 04/10, 18:00

Prediction: Drammen vs Bergen Handball

Team pages: Drammen · Bergen Handball

Prediction summary

Estimated points

61.1Total

Drammen30

Bergen Handball31.1

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

60% 40%

Drammen Bergen Handball

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 64.5 points 74%

Recent form · 10 last

Drammen 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWDWLLWLWL

Bergen Handball 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLLLWL

Head-to-head

Drammen 3–1–2 Bergen Handball (6 last)

Drammen31-36Bergen Handball
Bergen Handball44-34Drammen
Bergen Handball32-35Drammen
Drammen30-30Bergen Handball
Drammen32-30Bergen Handball
Bergen Handball35-40Drammen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Drammen 1497 · Bergen Handball 1534

	Drammen	Bergen Handball
Our model	55%	45%
Market	56%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 61.1 points · Bet365 line 64.5 · -3.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points61.1Drammen 30 · Bergen Handball 31.1

Over / Under 64.5Under · 74%recent trend · ~58.2 pts · strength 6

Match keys

H2H favours Drammen: 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Drammen	Bergen Handball
Points F\|A (Last 10)	29.4 / 30.5	30.6 / 31.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.2 / 29.8	28 / 32.2
Est. result	30	31

Est. total61.1

Line O/U64.5

Diff.3.4

Over / Under26% / 74%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X8.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 64.51.85

Under 64.51.85

Diff.: 3.3 · Est. total: 61.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.47 → 1.60▲	Bet365 1.60
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	3.10 → 2.70▼	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
21:51 +25’	1.47	8.50	3.10
23:55 +14’	1.60▲	8.50	2.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Drammen 3–1–2 Bergen Handball

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/03/26 Norway Eliteserien	Drammen	31-36	Bergen Handball
26/11/25 Norway Eliteserien	Bergen Handball	44-34	Drammen
05/03/25 Norway Eliteserien	Bergen Handball	32-35	Drammen
27/11/24 Norway Eliteserien	Drammen	30-30	Bergen Handball
21/03/24 Norway Eliteserien	Drammen	32-30	Bergen Handball
14/10/23 Norway Eliteserien	Bergen Handball	35-40	Drammen

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elverum	6	6	0	0	211	164	12
2	Runar Sandefjord	6	5	0	1	208	166	10
3	Sandefjord	4	4	0	0	140	129	8
4	Kolstad	6	4	1	1	186	162	7
5	Nærbø IL	6	3	0	3	177	179	6
6	Follo	5	2	1	2	136	145	5
7	OIF Arendal	4	2	0	2	122	113	4
8	Viking TIF	4	2	0	2	118	136	4
9	Drammen	4	2	0	2	112	110	4
10	Kristiansand	5	1	1	3	141	146	3
11	Fjellhammer	5	1	1	3	131	137	3
12	Bergen Handball	5	1	0	4	140	161	2
13	Sandnes	5	0	0	5	122	157	0
14	Bergsoy	5	0	0	5	130	169	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Drammen	Bergen Handball
OIF Arendal	26-34 L	35-33 W
Kolstad	24-39 L	23-33 L
Elverum	33-32 W	29-31 L
Runar Sandefjord	34-25 W	24-30 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Drammen

LWDWLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien	26-34	L
20/09	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	30-22	W
13/09	Follo Norway Eliteserien	27-28	L
06/09	Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien	29-26	W
27/05	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	24-39	L
23/05	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	30-34	L
06/05	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	33-32	W
02/05	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	26-26	D
25/04	Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	34-25	W
22/04	Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	35-39	L

Bergen Handball

WWWLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	29-34	L
20/09	OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien	35-33	W
12/09	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	23-33	L
05/09	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	29-31	L
29/08	Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	24-30	L
09/05	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	32-38	L
05/05	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	30-33	L
30/04	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	33-30	W
21/04	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	37-31	W
15/04	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	34-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Drammen vs Bergen Handball?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Drammen 60% · Bergen Handball 40%).

How many points are expected in Drammen vs Bergen Handball?

The model estimates 61.1 total points (Drammen 30 · Bergen Handball 31.1).

Over or under 64.5 points?

Recent history points to under 64.5 points (74%).