Handball · Norway Eliteserien · 04/10, 18:00

Prediction: Fjellhammer vs Sandefjord

Team pages: Fjellhammer · Sandefjord

Prediction summary

Estimated points

56.9Total

Fjellhammer29.4

Sandefjord27.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

38% 62%

Fjellhammer Sandefjord

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Fjellhammer 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLLWLDLL

Sandefjord 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLWWWW

Head-to-head

Fjellhammer 2–3–1 Sandefjord (6 last)

Sandefjord23-28Fjellhammer
Fjellhammer29-30Sandefjord
Sandefjord25-25Fjellhammer
Fjellhammer31-31Sandefjord
Fjellhammer27-27Sandefjord
Sandefjord28-33Fjellhammer

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fjellhammer 1529 · Sandefjord 1580

	Fjellhammer	Sandefjord
Our model	53%	47%
Market	25%	65%

Estimated total (ours) 56.9 points · Bet365 line 62.5 · -5.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points56.9Fjellhammer 29.4 · Sandefjord 27.5

Match keys

H2H favours Fjellhammer: 2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Fjellhammer	Sandefjord
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27 / 26.8	31.9 / 31.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	26.2 / 27.4	34.2 / 33.2
Est. result	29	28

Est. total56.9

Line O/U62.5

Diff.5.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.60

X9.00

21.37

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.95

2 (-2.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 62.51.85

Under 62.51.85

Diff.: 4.05 · Est. total: 58.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	1.37 → 1.37	Bet365 1.37

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:01 +8’	3.60	9.00	1.37

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fjellhammer 2–3–1 Sandefjord

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/08/26 Club Friendlies	Sandefjord	23-28	Fjellhammer
08/03/26 Norway Eliteserien	Fjellhammer	29-30	Sandefjord
22/11/25 Norway Eliteserien	Sandefjord	25-25	Fjellhammer
08/08/25 Club Friendlies	Fjellhammer	31-31	Sandefjord
30/04/24 Norway Eliteserien	Fjellhammer	27-27	Sandefjord
26/04/24 Norway Eliteserien	Sandefjord	28-33	Fjellhammer

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elverum	6	6	0	0	211	164	12
2	Runar Sandefjord	6	5	0	1	208	166	10
3	Sandefjord	4	4	0	0	140	129	8
4	Kolstad	6	4	1	1	186	162	7
5	Nærbø IL	6	3	0	3	177	179	6
6	Follo	5	2	1	2	136	145	5
7	OIF Arendal	4	2	0	2	122	113	4
8	Viking TIF	4	2	0	2	118	136	4
9	Drammen	4	2	0	2	112	110	4
10	Kristiansand	5	1	1	3	141	146	3
11	Fjellhammer	5	1	1	3	131	137	3
12	Bergen Handball	5	1	0	4	140	161	2
13	Sandnes	5	0	0	5	122	157	0
14	Bergsoy	5	0	0	5	130	169	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fjellhammer	Sandefjord
Nærbø IL	28-31 L	36-34 W
Kristiansand	30-30 D	31-30 W
OIF Arendal	23-22 W	32-30 W
Sandnes	28-14 W	28-34 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sandefjord (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fjellhammer

WWLLLWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien	28-31	L
20/09	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	24-25	L
12/09	Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien	30-30	D
06/09	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	26-29	L
30/08	OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien	23-22	W
22/04	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	32-33	L
16/04	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	26-30	L
11/04	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	27-33	L
08/04	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	28-14	W
28/03	Bækkelaget Norway Eliteserien	26-21	W

Sandefjord

WLWWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien	34-29	W
20/09	Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien	36-34	W
13/09	Bergsoy Norway Eliteserien	39-36	W
06/09	Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien	31-30	W
21/04	Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien	31-37	L
15/04	Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien	26-34	L
11/04	Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien	32-22	W
08/04	OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien	32-30	W
15/03	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	28-34	L
11/03	Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	30-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fjellhammer vs Sandefjord?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Fjellhammer 38% · Sandefjord 62%).

How many points are expected in Fjellhammer vs Sandefjord?

The model estimates 56.9 total points (Fjellhammer 29.4 · Sandefjord 27.5).