Prediction: USM Oujda vs Union Sportive Boujaad
Team pages: USM Oujda · Union Sportive Boujaad
- USM Oujda1-0Union Sportive Boujaad
- Union Sportive Boujaad2-2USM Oujda
| USM Oujda | Draw | Union Sportive Boujaad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 32% | 31% |
| Market | 36% | 33% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours USM Oujda (rating 1529 vs 1484).
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| USM Oujda | Union Sportive Boujaad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/50/25% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.1 | 2.6 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · USM Oujda 1–1–0 Union Sportive Boujaad
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Morocco GNF 2 | USM Oujda | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Union Sportive Boujaad |
| 25/01/26 Morocco GNF 2 | Union Sportive Boujaad | 2-2 HT 2-2 | USM Oujda |
Standings · Morocco GNF 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Yacoub El Mansour | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 2 | Olympique Dcheira | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Ittihad Khemisset | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Stade Marocain Du Rabat | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | WAF Widad Fes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | USM Oujda | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | KAC Kenitra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | OC Safi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 9 | Mouloudia Oujda | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | JS Massira | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 12 | Olympique Khouribga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 4 |
| 14 | Union Sportive Boujaad | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| 15 | SC Chabab Mohammedia | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 16 | JS Soualem | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | USM Oujda | Union Sportive Boujaad |
|---|---|---|
| KAC Kenitra | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| WAF Widad Fes | 1-4 L | 0-3 L |
| OC Safi | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
USM Oujda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | KAC Kenitra Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 25/10 | JS Soualem Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/10 | WAF Widad Fes Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 10/10 | OC Safi Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 04/10 | SC Chabab Mohammedia Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Mouloudia Oujda Morocco GNF 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 05/07 | Widad Temara Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | JS Soualem Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Union Sportive Boujaad Morocco GNF 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Union Sportive Boujaad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/10 | JS Massira Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/10 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/10 | KAC Kenitra Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 03/10 | WAF Widad Fes Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/09 | OC Safi Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 05/07 | Racing de Casablanca Morocco GNF 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | WAF Widad Fes Morocco GNF 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | USM Oujda Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in USM Oujda vs Union Sportive Boujaad?
According to our model, the most likely result is a USM Oujda win (37%). Probabilities: USM Oujda 37%, draw 32%, Union Sportive Boujaad 31%.
How many goals are expected in USM Oujda vs Union Sportive Boujaad?
The model expects 2.23 goals (USM Oujda 1.17 · Union Sportive Boujaad 1.06), with a 56% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in USM Oujda vs Union Sportive Boujaad?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.