Football · Morocco GNF 2 · 15/11, 16:00
Prediction: Chabab Atlas Khénifra vs WAF Widad Fes
Team pages: Chabab Atlas Khénifra · WAF Widad Fes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Chabab Atlas Khénifra0.81
WAF Widad Fes1.51
1X2
Chabab Atlas Khénifra
Draw
WAF Widad Fes
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Chabab Atlas Khénifra
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
WAF Widad Fes
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chabab Atlas Khénifra
1–3–2
WAF Widad Fes
(6 last)
- WAF Widad Fes1-0Chabab Atlas Khénifra
- Chabab Atlas Khénifra1-1WAF Widad Fes
- Chabab Atlas Khénifra1-1WAF Widad Fes
- WAF Widad Fes3-1Chabab Atlas Khénifra
- WAF Widad Fes1-2Chabab Atlas Khénifra
- Chabab Atlas Khénifra0-0WAF Widad Fes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chabab Atlas Khénifra 1446 · WAF Widad Fes 1574
| Chabab Atlas Khénifra | Draw | WAF Widad Fes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 28% | 53% |
| Market | 19% | 29% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours WAF Widad Fes (rating 1446 vs 1574).
- H2H favours WAF Widad Fes: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chabab Atlas Khénifra | WAF Widad Fes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 1.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/38/38% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.6 | 1.2 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.4 | 5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chabab Atlas Khénifra 1–3–2 WAF Widad Fes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Morocco GNF 2 | WAF Widad Fes | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra |
| 27/09/25 Morocco GNF 2 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra | 1-1 HT 0-0 | WAF Widad Fes |
| 16/02/25 Morocco GNF 2 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra | 1-1 HT 1-0 | WAF Widad Fes |
| 04/10/24 Morocco GNF 2 | WAF Widad Fes | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra |
| 31/05/24 Morocco GNF 2 | WAF Widad Fes | 1-2 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra |
| 03/12/23 Morocco GNF 2 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra | 0-0 HT 0-0 | WAF Widad Fes |
Standings · Morocco GNF 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olympique Dcheira | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 19 |
| 2 | Ittihad Khemisset | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | WAF Widad Fes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | US Yacoub El Mansour | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Stade Marocain Du Rabat | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 13 |
| 6 | USM Oujda | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
| 7 | Mouloudia Oujda | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
| 8 | KAC Kenitra | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Olympique Khouribga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
| 10 | OC Safi | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | JS Massira | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 12 | Union Sportive Boujaad | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 7 |
| 13 | Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 | JS Soualem | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 5 |
| 15 | Chabab Atlas Khénifra | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
| 16 | SC Chabab Mohammedia | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chabab Atlas Khénifra | WAF Widad Fes |
|---|---|---|
| Mouloudia Oujda | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| USM Oujda | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| KAC Kenitra | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: WAF Widad Fes (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chabab Atlas Khénifra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | JS Soualem Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/11 | Mouloudia Oujda Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 24/10 | OC Safi Morocco GNF 2 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 17/10 | Stade Marocain Du Rabat Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 11/10 | SC Chabab Mohammedia Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 03/10 | Olympique Khouribga Morocco GNF 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Ittihad Khemisset Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/07 | US Amal Tiznit Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | USM Oujda Morocco GNF 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | KAC Kenitra Morocco GNF 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
WAF Widad Fes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | JS Massira Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/10 | Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir Morocco GNF 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 24/10 | US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | USM Oujda Morocco GNF 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 11/10 | Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | Union Sportive Boujaad Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | KAC Kenitra Morocco GNF 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Mouloudia Oujda Morocco GNF 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | JS Massira Morocco GNF 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 20/06 | Union Sportive Boujaad Morocco GNF 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chabab Atlas Khénifra vs WAF Widad Fes?
According to our model, the most likely result is an WAF Widad Fes win (53%). Probabilities: Chabab Atlas Khénifra 19%, draw 29%, WAF Widad Fes 53%.
How many goals are expected in Chabab Atlas Khénifra vs WAF Widad Fes?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Chabab Atlas Khénifra 0.81 · WAF Widad Fes 1.51), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chabab Atlas Khénifra vs WAF Widad Fes?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.