Football · Morocco GNF 2 · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Union Sportive Boujaad vs Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir

Team pages: Union Sportive Boujaad · Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.05Total

Union Sportive Boujaad1.17

Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir0.88

1X2

41% 32% 26%

Union Sportive Boujaad Draw Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Union Sportive Boujaad 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

DDWDLDDLLD

Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDDWLLDWLL

Head-to-head

Union Sportive Boujaad 1–1–0 Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir (2 last)

Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir0-0Union Sportive Boujaad
Union Sportive Boujaad2-1Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Sportive Boujaad 1502 · Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir 1465

	Union Sportive Boujaad	Draw	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir
Our model	41%	33%	26%
Market	41%	32%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.05 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Union Sportive Boujaad	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.1	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	38/38/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.6	1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.4	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X2.75

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.85

Under 1.751.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.19
X	2.90 → 2.75▼	Bet365 2.75
2	4.00 → 3.40▼	Pinn 3.60 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:53 +15’	1.91	2.90	4.00
15:24 +2’	2.15▲	2.75▼	3.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:05 +4’	1.98	2.80	3.90
15:20 +6’	2.19▲	2.70▼	3.60▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 1.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Sportive Boujaad 1–1–0 Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Morocco GNF 2	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir	0-0 HT 0-0	Union Sportive Boujaad
07/02/26 Morocco GNF 2	Union Sportive Boujaad	2-1	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir

Standings · Morocco GNF 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Olympique Dcheira	8	6	1	1	14	5	19
2	Ittihad Khemisset	8	5	2	1	12	5	17
3	WAF Widad Fes	7	5	1	1	14	6	16
4	US Yacoub El Mansour	7	4	2	1	9	5	14
5	Stade Marocain Du Rabat	8	4	1	3	8	9	13
6	USM Oujda	7	3	3	1	8	8	12
7	Mouloudia Oujda	8	3	2	3	12	11	11
8	KAC Kenitra	8	2	4	2	4	4	10
9	Olympique Khouribga	7	2	3	2	10	6	9
10	OC Safi	7	2	3	2	7	8	9
11	JS Massira	8	2	2	4	7	10	8
12	Union Sportive Boujaad	8	1	4	3	6	10	7
13	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir	8	2	1	5	7	9	7
14	JS Soualem	7	1	2	4	4	10	5
15	Chabab Atlas Khénifra	7	1	1	5	7	13	4
16	SC Chabab Mohammedia	7	0	2	5	2	12	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Union Sportive Boujaad	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir
KAC Kenitra	1-1 D	0-1 L
WAF Widad Fes	0-3 L	1-3 L
OC Safi	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Union Sportive Boujaad (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Sportive Boujaad

DDWDLDDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	USM Oujda Morocco GNF 2	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
31/10	Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 2	–	2-3	–	–	L
25/10	JS Massira Morocco GNF 2	–	1-2	–	–	L
17/10	US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
10/10	KAC Kenitra Morocco GNF 2	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
03/10	WAF Widad Fes Morocco GNF 2	–	0-3	–	–	L
26/09	OC Safi Morocco GNF 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
05/07	Racing de Casablanca Morocco GNF 2	1-0	4-0	2	4	W
27/06	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir Morocco GNF 2	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
20/06	WAF Widad Fes Morocco GNF 2	1-1	1-1	8	3	D

Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir

DDDWLLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	KAC Kenitra Morocco GNF 2	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
31/10	WAF Widad Fes Morocco GNF 2	1-0	1-3	3	7	L
25/10	SC Chabab Mohammedia Morocco GNF 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
17/10	Mouloudia Oujda Morocco GNF 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
10/10	Stade Marocain Du Rabat Morocco GNF 2	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
04/10	OC Safi Morocco GNF 2	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
27/09	JS Soualem Morocco GNF 2	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
05/07	JS Soualem Morocco GNF 2	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
27/06	Union Sportive Boujaad Morocco GNF 2	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
20/06	Mouloudia Oujda Morocco GNF 2	1-0	1-1	2	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Sportive Boujaad vs Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Sportive Boujaad win (41%). Probabilities: Union Sportive Boujaad 41%, draw 32%, Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir 26%.

How many goals are expected in Union Sportive Boujaad vs Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir?

The model expects 2.05 goals (Union Sportive Boujaad 1.17 · Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir 0.88), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Sportive Boujaad vs Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.