Football · Morocco GNF 2 · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Mouloudia Oujda vs Stade Marocain Du Rabat

Team pages: Mouloudia Oujda · Stade Marocain Du Rabat

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

Mouloudia Oujda1.29

Stade Marocain Du Rabat1.06

1X2

40% 31% 29%

Mouloudia Oujda Draw Stade Marocain Du Rabat

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Mouloudia Oujda 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDDLWDDLWL

Stade Marocain Du Rabat 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWWDWW

Head-to-head

Mouloudia Oujda 3–1–0 Stade Marocain Du Rabat (4 last)

Stade Marocain Du Rabat1-3Mouloudia Oujda
Mouloudia Oujda3-0Stade Marocain Du Rabat
Mouloudia Oujda2-1Stade Marocain Du Rabat
Stade Marocain Du Rabat1-1Mouloudia Oujda

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mouloudia Oujda 1499 · Stade Marocain Du Rabat 1510

	Mouloudia Oujda	Draw	Stade Marocain Du Rabat
Our model	40%	30%	29%
Market	40%	31%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Mouloudia Oujda: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mouloudia Oujda	Stade Marocain Du Rabat
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	0.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.4 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/50/33%	43/57/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5	1.2 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.3	5.4 / 0.9

Odds Bet365

12.25

X2.88

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.25▼	Bet365 2.25
X	2.80 → 2.88▲	Bet365 2.88
2	3.00 → 3.10▲	Pinn 3.57 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:07 +1’	2.35	2.80	3.00
11:58 +21’	2.25▼	2.88▲	3.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:05 +4’	2.27	2.75	3.19
15:25	2.12▼	2.83▲	3.57▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mouloudia Oujda 3–1–0 Stade Marocain Du Rabat

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Morocco GNF 2	Stade Marocain Du Rabat	1-3 HT 0-2	Mouloudia Oujda
12/10/25 Morocco GNF 2	Mouloudia Oujda	3-0 HT 1-0	Stade Marocain Du Rabat
20/04/25 Morocco GNF 2	Mouloudia Oujda	2-1	Stade Marocain Du Rabat
07/12/24 Morocco GNF 2	Stade Marocain Du Rabat	1-1 HT 1-0	Mouloudia Oujda

Standings · Morocco GNF 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Olympique Dcheira	8	6	1	1	14	5	19
2	Ittihad Khemisset	8	5	2	1	12	5	17
3	WAF Widad Fes	7	5	1	1	14	6	16
4	US Yacoub El Mansour	7	4	2	1	9	5	14
5	Stade Marocain Du Rabat	8	4	1	3	8	9	13
6	USM Oujda	7	3	3	1	8	8	12
7	Mouloudia Oujda	8	3	2	3	12	11	11
8	KAC Kenitra	8	2	4	2	4	4	10
9	Olympique Khouribga	7	2	3	2	10	6	9
10	OC Safi	7	2	3	2	7	8	9
11	JS Massira	8	2	2	4	7	10	8
12	Union Sportive Boujaad	8	1	4	3	6	10	7
13	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir	8	2	1	5	7	9	7
14	JS Soualem	7	1	2	4	4	10	5
15	Chabab Atlas Khénifra	7	1	1	5	7	13	4
16	SC Chabab Mohammedia	7	0	2	5	2	12	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mouloudia Oujda	Stade Marocain Du Rabat
Olympique Khouribga	0-2 L	1-1 D
Chabab Atlas Khénifra	1-0 W	2-1 W
Ittihad Khemisset	1-2 L	0-1 L
Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir	2-2 D	1-0 W
JS Massira	2-2 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Stade Marocain Du Rabat (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mouloudia Oujda

DDDLWDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Olympique Khouribga Morocco GNF 2	–	0-2	–	–	L
01/11	Chabab Atlas Khénifra Morocco GNF 2	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
25/10	Ittihad Khemisset Morocco GNF 2	1-1	1-2	5	4	L
17/10	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir Morocco GNF 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/10	JS Massira Morocco GNF 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 2	0-0	2-1	9	6	W
27/09	USM Oujda Morocco GNF 2	1-2	1-2	1	8	L
05/07	WAF Widad Fes Morocco GNF 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/06	US Amal Tiznit Morocco GNF 2	1-1	1-1	1	5	D
20/06	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir Morocco GNF 2	0-1	1-1	11	6	D

Stade Marocain Du Rabat

WLLLLWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	OC Safi Morocco GNF 2	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
01/11	SC Chabab Mohammedia Morocco GNF 2	0-0	1-0	2	8	W
24/10	Olympique Khouribga Morocco GNF 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
17/10	Chabab Atlas Khénifra Morocco GNF 2	1-0	2-1	6	7	W
10/10	Club Jeunesse Ben Guerir Morocco GNF 2	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
03/10	Ittihad Khemisset Morocco GNF 2	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
27/09	JS Massira Morocco GNF 2	–	1-2	–	–	L
05/07	MAT Tetouan Morocco GNF 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/06	Widad Temara Morocco GNF 2	0-0	0-1	4	9	L
20/06	SC Chabab Mohammedia Morocco GNF 2	1-0	1-0	1	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mouloudia Oujda vs Stade Marocain Du Rabat?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mouloudia Oujda win (40%). Probabilities: Mouloudia Oujda 40%, draw 31%, Stade Marocain Du Rabat 29%.

How many goals are expected in Mouloudia Oujda vs Stade Marocain Du Rabat?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Mouloudia Oujda 1.29 · Stade Marocain Du Rabat 1.06), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Mouloudia Oujda vs Stade Marocain Du Rabat?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.