Football · Mexico Liga TDP · 08/11, 00:00

Prediction: CD Muxes vs CD Novillos Neza

Team pages: CD Muxes · CD Novillos Neza

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
CD Muxes2.39
CD Novillos Neza0.78
1X2
73% 17% 10%
CD Muxes Draw CD Novillos Neza
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Muxes 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
DWWWWWLWLW
CD Novillos Neza 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLWDLLWLWD
Head-to-head
CD Muxes 2–0 CD Novillos Neza (2 last)
  • CD Muxes5-1CD Novillos Neza
  • CD Novillos Neza0-8CD Muxes
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Muxes 1558 · CD Novillos Neza 1483
CD MuxesDrawCD Novillos Neza
Our model72%18%10%
Market73%16%11%
Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Muxes (rating 1558 vs 1483).
  • H2H favours CD Muxes: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CD MuxesCD Novillos Neza
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 0.81.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.60.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.92.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.32.9 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Muxes 2–0–0 CD Novillos Neza

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/01/24
Mexico Liga TDP
CD Muxes5-1
HT 3-1
CD Novillos Neza
15/09/23
Mexico Liga TDP
CD Novillos Neza0-8
HT 0-2
CD Muxes

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Muxes

DWWWWWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 CD Halcones de Rayón
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 2-0 45 W
03/10 Alamos
Mexico Liga TDP
1-2 1-3 11 L
25/09 Around Soccer
Mexico Liga TDP
3-2 3-2 32 W
06/05 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 0-1 47 L
29/04 Orishas Tepeji FC
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 2-0 61 W
27/04 PDLA FC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 2-0 49 W
23/04 PDLA FC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 2-1 35 W
21/03 CD Matamoros
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 3-0 65 W
06/03 CF Pachuca III
Mexico Liga TDP
2-0 4-0 45 W
28/02 Halcones Negros FC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 1-1 48 D

CD Novillos Neza

LLWDLLWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Oceanía FC
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 1-1 30 D
27/03 FC San José del Arenal
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 3-0 47 W
13/03 Azucareros de Tezonapa
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 1-2 34 L
26/02 Halcones Zuñiga SC
Mexico Liga TDP
2-0 3-1 123 W
20/02 Valle de Xico FC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 1-2 103 L
13/02 Atletico Inter Capital
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 1-2 29 L
30/01 CDC Dominguez Osos
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 1-1 44 D
23/01 FC Politecnico
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 2-0 23 W
05/12 Arietes FC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 1-3 50 L
28/11 Santiago Tulantepec
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-1 70 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Muxes vs CD Novillos Neza?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Muxes win (73%). Probabilities: CD Muxes 73%, draw 17%, CD Novillos Neza 10%.

How many goals are expected in CD Muxes vs CD Novillos Neza?

The model expects 3.17 goals (CD Muxes 2.39 · CD Novillos Neza 0.78), with a 58% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Muxes vs CD Novillos Neza?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.