Football · Mexico Liga TDP · 13/11, 23:00

Prediction: Alamos vs Héroes de Zaci Hidalgo

Team pages: Alamos · Héroes de Zaci Hidalgo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
Alamos1.72
Héroes de Zaci Hidalgo1.47
1X2
43% 25% 32%
Alamos Draw Héroes de Zaci Hidalgo
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Alamos 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWLLLWWWLD
Héroes de Zaci Hidalgo 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WWWDWLWWDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alamos 1528 · Héroes de Zaci Hidalgo 1586
AlamosDrawHéroes de Zaci Hidalgo
Our model43%25%32%
Market43%26%32%
Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Héroes de Zaci Hidalgo (rating 1528 vs 1586).
  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AlamosHéroes de Zaci Hidalgo
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.93 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.21.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/80/0%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.82.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 02.2 / 0.3

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAlamosHéroes de Zaci Hidalgo
CD Halcones de Rayón 2-1 W 5-0 W
Oceanía FC 1-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Héroes de Zaci Hidalgo (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alamos

WWLLLWWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/11 CDM FC
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-0 41 D
30/10 Aztecas AMF
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 1-2 63 L
17/10 CD Halcones de Rayón
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 2-1 122 W
03/10 CD Muxes
Mexico Liga TDP
2-1 3-1 71 W
19/09 Around Soccer
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 2-1 54 W
27/04 Delfines UGM
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-1 52 L
23/04 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-1 21 L
20/03 Sangre de Campeón
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 0-1 32 L
13/03 Oceanía FC
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 1-0 85 W
06/03 FormaFutIntegral AC
Mexico Liga TDP
0-0 2-1 62 W

Héroes de Zaci Hidalgo

WWWDWLWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/11 Bombarderos de Tecamac FC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 2-1 63 W
24/10 Club Hidalguense
Mexico Liga TDP
2-3 3-3 23 D
17/10 Caudillos De Morelos FC
Mexico Liga TDP
2-1 5-1 01 W
26/09 Oceanía FC
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 2-0 22 W
03/04 Atletico Inter Capital
Mexico Liga TDP
0-1 1-2 52 L
27/03 CDC Dominguez Osos
Mexico Liga TDP
2-1 4-1 24 W
17/03 Azucareros de Tezonapa
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 2-2 52 D
23/01 CD Halcones de Rayón
Mexico Liga TDP
1-0 5-0 121 W
16/01 Ciervos FC II
Mexico Liga TDP
4-0 4-2 82 W
09/01 Irapuato Olimpo
Mexico Liga TDP
1-1 2-1 75 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alamos vs Héroes de Zaci Hidalgo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Alamos win (43%). Probabilities: Alamos 43%, draw 25%, Héroes de Zaci Hidalgo 32%.

How many goals are expected in Alamos vs Héroes de Zaci Hidalgo?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Alamos 1.72 · Héroes de Zaci Hidalgo 1.47), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Alamos vs Héroes de Zaci Hidalgo?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.