Football · Mexico Liga TDP · 13/11, 23:00
Prediction: Bombarderos de Tecamac FC vs CF Pachuca III
Team pages: Bombarderos de Tecamac FC · CF Pachuca III
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
Bombarderos de Tecamac FC1.21
CF Pachuca III1.94
1X2
Bombarderos de Tecamac FC
Draw
CF Pachuca III
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Bombarderos de Tecamac FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
CF Pachuca III
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bombarderos de Tecamac FC
0–3–2
CF Pachuca III
(5 last)
- Bombarderos de Tecamac FC0-4CF Pachuca III
- CF Pachuca III0-0Bombarderos de Tecamac FC
- Bombarderos de Tecamac FC0-0CF Pachuca III
- CF Pachuca III5-1Bombarderos de Tecamac FC
- Bombarderos de Tecamac FC1-1CF Pachuca III
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bombarderos de Tecamac FC 1478 · CF Pachuca III 1587
| Bombarderos de Tecamac FC | Draw | CF Pachuca III | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 24% | 53% |
| Market | 23% | 24% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CF Pachuca III (rating 1478 vs 1587).
- H2H favours CF Pachuca III: 2-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bombarderos de Tecamac FC | CF Pachuca III | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 3.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.1 | 3.2 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bombarderos de Tecamac FC 0–3–2 CF Pachuca III
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/25 Mexico Liga TDP | Bombarderos de Tecamac FC | 0-4 HT 0-2 | CF Pachuca III |
| 01/11/24 Mexico Liga TDP | CF Pachuca III | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Bombarderos de Tecamac FC |
| 16/03/24 Mexico Liga TDP | Bombarderos de Tecamac FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CF Pachuca III |
| 27/10/23 Mexico Liga TDP | CF Pachuca III | 5-1 HT 1-1 | Bombarderos de Tecamac FC |
| 10/09/22 Mexico Liga TDP | Bombarderos de Tecamac FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CF Pachuca III |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bombarderos de Tecamac FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Héroes de Zaci Hidalgo Mexico Liga TDP |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | Centro de Talentos Volten Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Jaiba Brava II Mexico Liga TDP |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | Industriales de Altamira FC Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Tuzos Pachuca Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Águilas Teotihuacán Mexico Liga TDP |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | CD Cruz Azul Lagunas Mexico Liga TDP |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Industriales de Altamira FC Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 29/04 | Industriales de Altamira FC Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Ejidatarios de Bonfil Mexico Liga TDP |
3-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
CF Pachuca III
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Club Hidalguense Mexico Liga TDP |
2-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 23/10 | Alebrijes Teotihuacan Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 09/10 | Industriales de Altamira FC Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Cordobes Futbol Club II Mexico Liga TDP |
1-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Dragones Toluca II Mexico Liga TDP |
4-0 | 5-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Oaxaca II Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | Halcones Negros FC Mexico Liga TDP |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 26/03 | Club Atlético Toltecas FC Mexico Liga TDP |
4-0 | 9-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/03 | CD Muxes Mexico Liga TDP |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 28/02 | Cefor 30-30 Mexico Liga TDP |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bombarderos de Tecamac FC vs CF Pachuca III?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CF Pachuca III win (53%). Probabilities: Bombarderos de Tecamac FC 23%, draw 24%, CF Pachuca III 53%.
How many goals are expected in Bombarderos de Tecamac FC vs CF Pachuca III?
The model expects 3.15 goals (Bombarderos de Tecamac FC 1.21 · CF Pachuca III 1.94), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Bombarderos de Tecamac FC vs CF Pachuca III?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.