Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 06/11, 14:30

Prediction: Polissya Zhytomyr vs FC Veres Rivne

Team pages: Polissya Zhytomyr · FC Veres Rivne

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Polissya Zhytomyr2.14

FC Veres Rivne0.49

1X2

76% 17% 7%

Polissya Zhytomyr Draw FC Veres Rivne

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Polissya Zhytomyr 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWDWW

FC Veres Rivne 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDWDDWLLLL

Head-to-head

Polissya Zhytomyr 2–3–1 FC Veres Rivne (6 last)

Polissya Zhytomyr1-1FC Veres Rivne
FC Veres Rivne1-4Polissya Zhytomyr
FC Veres Rivne0-0Polissya Zhytomyr
FC Veres Rivne5-1Polissya Zhytomyr
Polissya Zhytomyr2-1FC Veres Rivne
Polissya Zhytomyr1-1FC Veres Rivne

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Polissya Zhytomyr 1614 · FC Veres Rivne 1458

	Polissya Zhytomyr	Draw	FC Veres Rivne
Our model	75%	18%	6%
Market	77%	15%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polissya Zhytomyr (rating 1614 vs 1458).
H2H favours Polissya Zhytomyr: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Polissya Zhytomyr	FC Veres Rivne
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.8	0.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	0/30/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6	2.1 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.17

X6.00

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.98

2 (+2)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17
X	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
07:00 +4’	1.17	6.00	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Polissya Zhytomyr 2–3–1 FC Veres Rivne

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	Polissya Zhytomyr	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Veres Rivne
29/09/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Veres Rivne	1-4 HT 0-3	Polissya Zhytomyr
02/04/25 Ukraine Cup	FC Veres Rivne	0-0 HT 0-0	Polissya Zhytomyr
11/03/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	FC Veres Rivne	5-1 HT 2-1	Polissya Zhytomyr
15/09/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	Polissya Zhytomyr	2-1 HT 0-1	FC Veres Rivne
01/12/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga	Polissya Zhytomyr	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Veres Rivne

Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shakhtar Donetsk	11	9	1	1	22	5	28
2	Polissya Zhytomyr	10	8	1	1	23	8	25
3	Dynamo Kiev	10	7	1	2	16	9	22
4	FC Kharkiv	9	7	0	2	18	7	21
5	Karpaty Lviv	11	5	4	2	22	8	19
6	FC Zorya Lugansk	11	5	3	3	13	13	18
7	LNZ Lebedyn	10	4	3	3	10	9	15
8	Kolos Kovalivka	9	3	2	4	12	13	11
9	Chernomorets Odessa	10	2	3	5	8	12	9
10	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	11	2	3	6	10	15	9
11	Bukovyna Chernivtsi	10	1	6	3	7	12	9
12	FC Veres Rivne	11	2	3	6	7	16	9
13	FC Livyi Bereh	9	1	5	3	6	8	8
14	Obolon Kyiv	10	1	4	5	4	17	7
15	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	9	1	3	5	7	15	6
16	FC Kudrivka	11	1	2	8	11	29	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Polissya Zhytomyr	FC Veres Rivne
Obolon Kyiv	3-0 W	0-2 L
Dynamo Kiev	3-1 W	1-2 L
FC Kudrivka	5-1 W	2-1 W
Shakhtar Donetsk	2-0 W	0-3 L
FC Zorya Lugansk	1-2 L	1-1 D
Chernomorets Odessa	2-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Polissya Zhytomyr (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Polissya Zhytomyr

WWLWWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	3-0	7	3	W
18/10	Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-1	3-1	7	7	W
11/10	Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-1	2-2	10	10	D
18/09	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
13/09	FC Livyi Bereh Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	1-0	8	1	W
04/09	FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga	2-1	5-1	6	5	W
29/08	Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
17/08	FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	1-2	7	2	L
10/08	FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	3-1	2	4	W
02/08	Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-1	2-1	8	2	W

FC Veres Rivne

LDWDDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-2	1-3	5	4	L
23/10	Kolos Kovalivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
16/10	Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
09/10	Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
03/10	FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
20/09	Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	1-1	7	7	D
06/09	FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-1	1-1	1	6	D
30/08	LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	1-0	1	0	W
14/08	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
09/08	Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	1-2	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Polissya Zhytomyr vs FC Veres Rivne?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Polissya Zhytomyr win (76%). Probabilities: Polissya Zhytomyr 76%, draw 17%, FC Veres Rivne 7%.

How many goals are expected in Polissya Zhytomyr vs FC Veres Rivne?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Polissya Zhytomyr 2.14 · FC Veres Rivne 0.49), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Polissya Zhytomyr vs FC Veres Rivne?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.