Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 08/11, 12:00

Prediction: Bukovyna Chernivtsi vs Kolos Kovalivka

Team pages: Bukovyna Chernivtsi · Kolos Kovalivka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

Bukovyna Chernivtsi1.34

Kolos Kovalivka1.07

1X2

42% 29% 29%

Bukovyna Chernivtsi Draw Kolos Kovalivka

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWDDLDLD

Kolos Kovalivka 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDDLWWLW

Head-to-head

Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0–2 Kolos Kovalivka (2 last)

Bukovyna Chernivtsi2-3Kolos Kovalivka
Kolos Kovalivka3-1Bukovyna Chernivtsi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1490 · Kolos Kovalivka 1505

	Bukovyna Chernivtsi	Draw	Kolos Kovalivka
Our model	41%	30%	29%
Market	43%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kolos Kovalivka: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bukovyna Chernivtsi	Kolos Kovalivka
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.2	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.5	1.8 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	4.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.25

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 12:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.10▼	Pinn 2.26
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.80 → 3.00▲	Pinn 3.28 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:44 +30’	2.20	3.25	2.80
12:21 +8’	2.10▼	3.25	3.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:13 +5’	2.16	3.43	3.16
20:00 +8’	2.26▲	3.09▼	3.28▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

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Both teams to score

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We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0–0–2 Kolos Kovalivka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/11/16 Ukraine Persha Liga	Bukovyna Chernivtsi	2-3 HT 0-3	Kolos Kovalivka
06/08/16 Ukraine Persha Liga	Kolos Kovalivka	3-1 HT 0-0	Bukovyna Chernivtsi

Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shakhtar Donetsk	11	9	1	1	22	5	28
2	Polissya Zhytomyr	10	8	1	1	23	8	25
3	Dynamo Kiev	10	7	1	2	16	9	22
4	FC Kharkiv	9	7	0	2	18	7	21
5	Karpaty Lviv	11	5	4	2	22	8	19
6	FC Zorya Lugansk	11	5	3	3	13	13	18
7	LNZ Lebedyn	10	4	3	3	10	9	15
8	Kolos Kovalivka	9	3	2	4	12	13	11
9	Chernomorets Odessa	10	2	3	5	8	12	9
10	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	11	2	3	6	10	15	9
11	Bukovyna Chernivtsi	10	1	6	3	7	12	9
12	FC Veres Rivne	11	2	3	6	7	16	9
13	FC Livyi Bereh	9	1	5	3	6	8	8
14	Obolon Kyiv	10	1	4	5	4	17	7
15	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	9	1	3	5	7	15	6
16	FC Kudrivka	11	1	2	8	11	29	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bukovyna Chernivtsi	Kolos Kovalivka
FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih	0-0 D	2-2 D
FC Kudrivka	1-4 L	3-2 W
FC Zorya Lugansk	1-1 D	0-2 L
Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	0-0 D	3-1 W
Dynamo Kiev	3-0 W	1-2 L
Karpaty Lviv	0-3 L	0-2 L
Obolon Kyiv	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kolos Kovalivka (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bukovyna Chernivtsi

DDLWDDLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
17/10	FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-2	1-4	7	4	L
11/10	Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-1	2-2	2	10	D
19/09	FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-2	2	1	L
13/09	FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-1	1-1	10	7	D
06/09	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
31/08	Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	3-0	4	1	W
15/08	Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-2	0-3	11	3	L
08/08	Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-0	13	2	D
03/08	LNZ Lebedyn Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-0	2	3	D

Kolos Kovalivka

WLLDDLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
17/10	Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-2	1-2	2	5	L
10/10	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-1	3-1	0	1	W
20/09	FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga	2-1	3-2	3	12	W
11/09	Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-2	0-2	4	6	L
05/09	FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-1	2-2	8	8	D
28/08	Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
16/08	Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga	1-1	1-2	1	7	L
31/07	FC Zorya Lugansk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	0-2	1	5	L
21/05	Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga	0-0	1-0	6	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bukovyna Chernivtsi vs Kolos Kovalivka?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bukovyna Chernivtsi win (42%). Probabilities: Bukovyna Chernivtsi 42%, draw 29%, Kolos Kovalivka 29%.

How many goals are expected in Bukovyna Chernivtsi vs Kolos Kovalivka?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1.34 · Kolos Kovalivka 1.07), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bukovyna Chernivtsi vs Kolos Kovalivka?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.