Football · Ukraine Vyscha Liga · 08/11, 12:00
Prediction: FC Zorya Lugansk vs LNZ Lebedyn
Team pages: FC Zorya Lugansk · LNZ Lebedyn
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
FC Zorya Lugansk0.96
LNZ Lebedyn1.12
1X2
FC Zorya Lugansk
Draw
LNZ Lebedyn
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Zorya Lugansk
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LNZ Lebedyn
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Zorya Lugansk
0–2–4
LNZ Lebedyn
(6 last)
- LNZ Lebedyn2-0FC Zorya Lugansk
- FC Zorya Lugansk0-0LNZ Lebedyn
- LNZ Lebedyn1-1FC Zorya Lugansk
- FC Zorya Lugansk1-2LNZ Lebedyn
- LNZ Lebedyn2-1FC Zorya Lugansk
- FC Zorya Lugansk1-2LNZ Lebedyn
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Zorya Lugansk 1542 · LNZ Lebedyn 1512
| FC Zorya Lugansk | Draw | LNZ Lebedyn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 33% | 38% |
| Market | 31% | 29% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours LNZ Lebedyn: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Zorya Lugansk | LNZ Lebedyn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.3 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.2 | 2.2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 2.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Zorya Lugansk 0–2–4 LNZ Lebedyn
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | LNZ Lebedyn | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Zorya Lugansk |
| 02/08/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Zorya Lugansk | 0-0 HT 0-0 | LNZ Lebedyn |
| 04/05/25 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | LNZ Lebedyn | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Zorya Lugansk |
| 04/11/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Zorya Lugansk | 1-2 HT 1-0 | LNZ Lebedyn |
| 19/05/24 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | LNZ Lebedyn | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FC Zorya Lugansk |
| 12/11/23 Ukraine Vyscha Liga | FC Zorya Lugansk | 1-2 HT 0-1 | LNZ Lebedyn |
Standings · Ukraine Vyscha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 5 | 28 |
| 2 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Dynamo Kiev | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Kharkiv | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Karpaty Lviv | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 8 | 19 |
| 6 | FC Zorya Lugansk | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 18 |
| 7 | LNZ Lebedyn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 15 |
| 8 | Kolos Kovalivka | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| 9 | Chernomorets Odessa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 9 |
| 10 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 9 |
| 11 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 9 |
| 12 | FC Veres Rivne | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Livyi Bereh | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| 14 | Obolon Kyiv | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 7 |
| 15 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Kudrivka | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Zorya Lugansk | LNZ Lebedyn |
|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Chernomorets Odessa | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| FC Livyi Bereh | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Dynamo Kiev | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| FC Veres Rivne | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 1-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Zorya Lugansk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/10 | Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/10 | Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 12/10 | FC Livyi Bereh Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 31/08 | FC Kharkiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/08 | Polissya Zhytomyr Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
LNZ Lebedyn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | FC Livyi Bereh Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 11/10 | FC Kudrivka Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Shakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Obolon Kyiv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
3-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Dynamo Kiev Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/08 | FC Veres Rivne Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 16/08 | Chernomorets Odessa Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 10/08 | Karpaty Lviv Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 03/08 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi Ukraine Vyscha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Zorya Lugansk vs LNZ Lebedyn?
According to our model, the most likely result is an LNZ Lebedyn win (39%). Probabilities: FC Zorya Lugansk 31%, draw 31%, LNZ Lebedyn 39%.
How many goals are expected in FC Zorya Lugansk vs LNZ Lebedyn?
The model expects 2.08 goals (FC Zorya Lugansk 0.96 · LNZ Lebedyn 1.12), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Zorya Lugansk vs LNZ Lebedyn?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.