Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 06/11, 23:00
Prediction: San Lorenzo vs Platense
Team pages: San Lorenzo · Platense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.9Total
San Lorenzo1
Platense0.9
1X2
San Lorenzo
Draw
Platense
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
San Lorenzo
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Platense
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Lorenzo
3–1–2
Platense
(6 last)
- Platense0-1San Lorenzo
- Platense2-1San Lorenzo
- San Lorenzo0-1Platense
- San Lorenzo2-1Platense
- Platense1-2San Lorenzo
- Platense0-0San Lorenzo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Lorenzo 1514 · Platense 1502
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Platense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 34% | 30% |
| Market | 36% | 33% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.9 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours San Lorenzo: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Lorenzo | Platense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4 | 3.2 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Lorenzo 3–1–2 Platense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Platense | 0-1 HT 0-1 | San Lorenzo |
| 16/08/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Platense | 2-1 HT 2-1 | San Lorenzo |
| 25/05/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | San Lorenzo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Platense |
| 14/02/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | San Lorenzo | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Platense |
| 01/09/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Platense | 1-2 HT 1-1 | San Lorenzo |
| 10/03/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Platense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Lorenzo |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 14 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 25 | 15 | 28 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 28 |
| 5 | Lanus | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 25 |
| 6 | Newell's | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 22 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 21 |
| 8 | CA Independiente | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 20 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 19 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 24 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 17 |
| 12 | Estudiantes LP | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 15 |
| 13 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 22 | 12 |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 12 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 10 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Lorenzo | Platense |
|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Newell's | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Estudiantes LP | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Riestra | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Defensa y Justicia | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: San Lorenzo (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Lorenzo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 25/10 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/10 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 11/10 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 03/10 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-3 | 0-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 14/09 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 01/09 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 22/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
Platense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 23/10 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 06/10 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 01/09 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Lorenzo vs Platense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Lorenzo win (36%). Probabilities: San Lorenzo 36%, draw 34%, Platense 30%.
How many goals are expected in San Lorenzo vs Platense?
The model expects 1.9 goals (San Lorenzo 1 · Platense 0.9), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in San Lorenzo vs Platense?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.