Prediction: Rosario Central vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

Team pages: Rosario Central · Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Rosario Central2.35
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto0.53
1X2
77% 17% 6%
Rosario Central Draw Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Rosario Central 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DLDWWDWWWW
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
DDLLLLLWLL
Head-to-head
Rosario Central 1–0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto (1 last)
  • Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1-2Rosario Central
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rosario Central 1592 · Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1418
Rosario CentralDrawEstudiantes Rio Cuarto
Our model78%16%6%
Market77%17%6%
Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rosario Central (rating 1592 vs 1418).
  • High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Rosario CentralEstudiantes Rio Cuarto
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.90.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.50.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.8 / 7.61.8 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 0.43.9 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rosario Central 1–0–0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Argentina Liga Profesional
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1-2
HT 0-1
Rosario Central

Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Rosario Central 15942 241231
2 Argentinos Jrs 15942 201231
3 Gimnasia LP 15843 231928
4 River Plate 15726 191423
5 Belgrano 15654 161323
6 Barracas Central 15654 151323
7 Independiente Rivadavia 15645 202322
8 Sarmiento 15636 232321
9 Huracan 15546 121619
10 Atlético Tucumán 15456 141517
11 CA Tigre 15447 151616
12 Racing Club 15438 162215
13 Banfield 15357 162314
14 CA Aldosivi 153210 162411
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 152310 10219

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentRosario CentralEstudiantes Rio Cuarto
Sarmiento 2-1 W 0-2 L
Huracan 2-0 W 1-1 D
Gimnasia LP 1-2 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Rosario Central (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rosario Central

DLDWWDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Sarmiento
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-1 2-1 138 W
25/10 Huracan
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 2-0 53 W
18/10 Atlético Tucumán
Argentina Liga Profesional
2-2 3-2 65 W
11/10 Independiente Rivadavia
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 5-0 95 W
06/10 Banfield
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 1-1 34 D
20/09 Argentinos Jrs
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 1-0 63 W
13/09 CA Tigre
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 1-0 47 W
06/09 Newell's
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 1-1 109 D
29/08 Gimnasia LP
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 1-2 105 L
25/08 CA Talleres de Córdoba
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 2-2 108 D

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

DDLLLLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/10 Gimnasia LP
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-2 1-2 58 L
26/10 Barracas Central
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 1-2 22 L
18/10 CA Aldosivi
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 2-1 75 W
11/10 River Plate
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 0-1 22 L
05/10 Racing Club
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-2 1-2 94 L
21/09 Belgrano
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 1-2 54 L
15/09 Instituto AC Cordoba
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 1-2 35 L
04/09 Sarmiento
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 0-2 142 L
30/08 Huracan
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-1 1-1 26 D
22/08 San Lorenzo
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-0 04 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rosario Central vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rosario Central win (77%). Probabilities: Rosario Central 77%, draw 17%, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 6%.

How many goals are expected in Rosario Central vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

The model expects 2.88 goals (Rosario Central 2.35 · Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0.53), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Rosario Central vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.