Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 08/11, 02:00
Prediction: Instituto AC Cordoba vs Newell's
Team pages: Instituto AC Cordoba · Newell's
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.1Total
Instituto AC Cordoba1.33
Newell's0.77
1X2
Instituto AC Cordoba
Draw
Newell's
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Instituto AC Cordoba
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Newell's
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Instituto AC Cordoba
2–1–0
Newell's
(3 last)
- Newell's1-1Instituto AC Cordoba
- Newell's0-2Instituto AC Cordoba
- Instituto AC Cordoba3-1Newell's
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Instituto AC Cordoba 1566 · Newell's 1518
| Instituto AC Cordoba | Draw | Newell's | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 31% | 20% |
| Market | 49% | 30% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Instituto AC Cordoba (rating 1566 vs 1518).
- H2H favours Instituto AC Cordoba: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Instituto AC Cordoba | Newell's | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.7 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.5 | 5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Instituto AC Cordoba 2–1–0 Newell's
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Newell's | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Instituto AC Cordoba |
| 14/06/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Newell's | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Instituto AC Cordoba |
| 27/02/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Instituto AC Cordoba | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Newell's |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 14 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 25 | 15 | 28 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 28 |
| 5 | Lanus | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 25 |
| 6 | Newell's | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 22 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 21 |
| 8 | CA Independiente | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 20 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 19 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 24 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 17 |
| 12 | Estudiantes LP | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 15 |
| 13 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 22 | 12 |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 12 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 25 | 10 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Instituto AC Cordoba | Newell's |
|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes LP | 3-3 D | 0-0 D |
| Union Santa Fe | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| San Lorenzo | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Instituto AC Cordoba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 27/10 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 03/10 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 20/09 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 15/09 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/09 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 01/09 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
Newell's
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 25/10 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/10 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 12/10 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 11/09 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 01/09 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Instituto AC Cordoba vs Newell's?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Instituto AC Cordoba win (49%). Probabilities: Instituto AC Cordoba 49%, draw 30%, Newell's 21%.
How many goals are expected in Instituto AC Cordoba vs Newell's?
The model expects 2.1 goals (Instituto AC Cordoba 1.33 · Newell's 0.77), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Instituto AC Cordoba vs Newell's?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.