Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 07/11, 02:00
Prediction: Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán
Team pages: Banfield · Atlético Tucumán
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Banfield1.29
Atlético Tucumán1.13
1X2
Banfield
Draw
Atlético Tucumán
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Banfield
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Atlético Tucumán
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Banfield
1–4–1
Atlético Tucumán
(6 last)
- Atlético Tucumán1-1Banfield
- Banfield1-1Atlético Tucumán
- Atlético Tucumán0-3Banfield
- Banfield0-0Atlético Tucumán
- Atlético Tucumán1-0Banfield
- Atlético Tucumán0-0Banfield
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Banfield 1458 · Atlético Tucumán 1461
| Banfield | Draw | Atlético Tucumán | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Market | 39% | 31% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Banfield | Atlético Tucumán | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.7 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Banfield 1–4–1 Atlético Tucumán
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Atlético Tucumán | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Banfield |
| 21/07/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Atlético Tucumán |
| 07/03/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Atlético Tucumán | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Banfield |
| 16/10/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Banfield | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atlético Tucumán |
| 05/03/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Atlético Tucumán | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Banfield |
| 06/09/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Atlético Tucumán | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Banfield |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Argentinos Jrs | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | Gimnasia LP | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 28 |
| 4 | River Plate | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 23 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 23 |
| 7 | Independiente Rivadavia | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
| 8 | Sarmiento | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 21 |
| 9 | Huracan | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 19 |
| 10 | Atlético Tucumán | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 17 |
| 11 | CA Tigre | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 15 |
| 13 | Banfield | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 14 |
| 14 | CA Aldosivi | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 24 | 11 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Banfield | Atlético Tucumán |
|---|---|---|
| Argentinos Jrs | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| CA Tigre | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Rosario Central | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Gimnasia LP | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Barracas Central | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| CA Aldosivi | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| River Plate | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Banfield (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Banfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/10 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 17/10 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 06/10 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 15/09 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 30/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Atlético Tucumán
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 24/10 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/10 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/10 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 03/10 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/09 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Banfield win (39%). Probabilities: Banfield 39%, draw 30%, Atlético Tucumán 31%.
How many goals are expected in Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Banfield 1.29 · Atlético Tucumán 1.13), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Banfield vs Atlético Tucumán?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.