Football · Tunisia League 2 · 15/11, 14:30

Prediction: US Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien

Team pages: US Ksour Essef · Stade Gabesien

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.13Total
US Ksour Essef1.2
Stade Gabesien0.93
1X2
41% 32% 27%
US Ksour Essef Draw Stade Gabesien
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
US Ksour Essef 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLLLDWWDWW
Stade Gabesien 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
DWLDDLWDDD
Head-to-head
US Ksour Essef 0–1–1 Stade Gabesien (2 last)
  • US Ksour Essef2-3Stade Gabesien
  • Stade Gabesien0-0US Ksour Essef
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · US Ksour Essef 1525 · Stade Gabesien 1509
US Ksour EssefDrawStade Gabesien
Our model41%32%27%
Market41%32%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

US Ksour EssefStade Gabesien
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.80.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.20.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%0/83/17%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 4.32 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 05 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · US Ksour Essef 0–1–1 Stade Gabesien

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
31/01/26
Tunisia League 2
US Ksour Essef2-3
HT 1-1
Stade Gabesien
05/10/25
Tunisia League 2
Stade Gabesien0-0
HT 0-0
US Ksour Essef

Standings · Tunisia League 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Group 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 AS Kasserine 7502 10615
2 US Ksour Essef 6420 7114
3 ES Bouchamma 7412 7913
4 CS Korba 7331 9512
5 Jendouba Sport 7331 5312
6 JS Kairouanaise 7322 5411
7 EGS Gafsa 7313 9810
8 Kalaa Sport 7313 7610
9 AS Ariana 7223 668
9 Stade Gabesien 7151 668
11 CS Redeyef 6204 646
12 Club Olympique Medenine 7124 5125
13 Olympique du Kef 7124 695
14 Moknine 7025 3122

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUS Ksour EssefStade Gabesien
ES Bouchamma 3-0 W 1-2 L
Moknine 2-1 W 0-0 D
AS Ariana 0-0 D 1-1 D
Kalaa Sport 1-2 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: US Ksour Essef (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

US Ksour Essef

WLLLDWWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 ES Bouchamma
Tunisia League 2
1-0 3-0 45 W
27/10 Moknine
Tunisia League 2
2-0 2-1 64 W
19/10 AS Ariana
Tunisia League 2
0-0 0-0 310 D
11/10 JS Kairouanaise
Tunisia League 2
0-0 1-0 23 W
04/10 Club Olympique Medenine
Tunisia League 2
1-0 1-0 73 W
27/09 Olympique Du Kef
Tunisia League 2
– 0-0 –– D
12/05 AS Kasserine
Tunisia League 2
– 0-1 –– L
02/05 Kalaa Sport
Tunisia League 2
– 1-2 –– L
28/04 Moknine
Tunisia League 2
– 1-2 –– L
19/04 EGS Gafsa
Tunisia League 2
1-1 4-2 42 W

Stade Gabesien

DWLDDLWDDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Kalaa Sport
Tunisia League 2
– 1-1 –– D
01/11 Jendouba Sport
Tunisia League 2
– 0-0 –– D
27/10 CS Korba
Tunisia League 2
1-1 2-2 49 D
19/10 CS Redeyef
Tunisia League 2
0-0 1-0 34 W
11/10 ES Bouchamma
Tunisia League 2
– 1-2 –– L
04/10 Moknine
Tunisia League 2
0-0 0-0 64 D
27/09 AS Ariana
Tunisia League 2
0-0 1-1 14 D
30/05 CS Hammam Lif
Tunisia League 2
0-2 0-3 56 L
25/05 Tataouine
Tunisia League 2
0-0 2-0 43 W
12/05 AS Djelma
Tunisia League 2
– 0-0 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in US Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien?

According to our model, the most likely result is a US Ksour Essef win (41%). Probabilities: US Ksour Essef 41%, draw 32%, Stade Gabesien 27%.

How many goals are expected in US Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien?

The model expects 2.13 goals (US Ksour Essef 1.2 · Stade Gabesien 0.93), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in US Ksour Essef vs Stade Gabesien?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.