Prediction: EGS Gafsa vs ES Bouchamma
Team pages: EGS Gafsa · ES Bouchamma
- ES Bouchamma1-0EGS Gafsa
- EGS Gafsa1-1ES Bouchamma
| EGS Gafsa | Draw | ES Bouchamma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 29% | 26% |
| Market | 45% | 30% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ES Bouchamma (rating 1492 vs 1550).
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| EGS Gafsa | ES Bouchamma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/33/67% | 67/0/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0 / 2 | 2.7 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.5 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · EGS Gafsa 0–1–1 ES Bouchamma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 Tunisia League 2 | ES Bouchamma | 1-0 | EGS Gafsa |
| 21/09/25 Tunisia League 2 | EGS Gafsa | 1-1 | ES Bouchamma |
Standings · Tunisia League 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Group 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Kasserine | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | US Ksour Essef | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 14 |
| 3 | ES Bouchamma | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | CS Korba | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Jendouba Sport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | JS Kairouanaise | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | EGS Gafsa | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 8 | Kalaa Sport | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | AS Ariana | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 9 | Stade Gabesien | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | CS Redeyef | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Club Olympique Medenine | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 5 |
| 13 | Olympique du Kef | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
| 14 | Moknine | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | EGS Gafsa | ES Bouchamma |
|---|---|---|
| AS Ariana | 1-0 W | 5-0 W |
| CS Korba | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| EO Sidi Bouzid | 5-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Jendouba Sport | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| US Ksour Essef | 2-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: EGS Gafsa (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
EGS Gafsa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Moknine Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 01/11 | AS Ariana Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/10 | JS Kairouanaise Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/10 | Club Olympique Medenine Tunisia League 2 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | Olympique du Kef Tunisia League 2 |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | CS Korba Tunisia League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 12/05 | EO Sidi Bouzid Tunisia League 2 |
– | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | AS Ariana Tunisia League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 28/04 | Jendouba Sport Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | US Ksour Essef Tunisia League 2 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
ES Bouchamma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | AS Kasserine Tunisia League 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/11 | US Ksour Essef Tunisia League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/10 | Kalaa Sport Tunisia League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 19/10 | Jendouba Sport Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/10 | Stade Gabesien Tunisia League 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | CS Redeyef Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | CS Korba Tunisia League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | CS Korba Tunisia League 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | EO Sidi Bouzid Tunisia League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/04 | AS Ariana Tunisia League 2 |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in EGS Gafsa vs ES Bouchamma?
According to our model, the most likely result is a EGS Gafsa win (45%). Probabilities: EGS Gafsa 45%, draw 29%, ES Bouchamma 25%.
How many goals are expected in EGS Gafsa vs ES Bouchamma?
The model expects 2.52 goals (EGS Gafsa 1.47 · ES Bouchamma 1.05), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in EGS Gafsa vs ES Bouchamma?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.