Football · Argentina Championship Women · 16/11, 19:00

Prediction: Union Santa Fe (W) vs Racing Club (W)

Team pages: Union Santa Fe (W) · Racing Club (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.27Total

Union Santa Fe (W)0.94

Racing Club (W)2.32

1X2

13% 20% 67%

Union Santa Fe (W) Draw Racing Club (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

0-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Union Santa Fe (W) 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DDLLLDLDLW

Racing Club (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWLDWWDW

Head-to-head

Union Santa Fe (W) 0–1 Racing Club (W) (1 last)

Racing Club (W)2-1Union Santa Fe (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Santa Fe (W) 1441 · Racing Club (W) 1553

	Union Santa Fe (W)	Draw	Racing Club (W)
Our model	13%	20%	67%
Market	13%	20%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Racing Club (W) (rating 1441 vs 1553).
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Union Santa Fe (W)	Racing Club (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	2.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.9 / 2.4	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.5	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

17.00

X4.50

21.33

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.00 → 7.00	Pinn 8.84 ★
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 5.56
2	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
19:54 +9’	7.00	4.50	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:03 +1’	8.84	5.56	1.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Santa Fe (W) 0–0–1 Racing Club (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/07/26 Argentina Championship Women	Racing Club (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Union Santa Fe (W)

Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boca Juniors (W)	13	9	2	2	24	9	29
2	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	12	8	3	1	22	9	27
3	Banfield (W)	13	8	3	2	20	9	27
4	San Luis FC (W)	13	8	0	5	20	17	24
5	San Lorenzo (W)	12	6	4	2	23	13	22
6	Racing Club (W)	13	6	3	4	27	15	21
7	Belgrano (W)	13	6	2	5	21	14	20
8	Ferro Carril Oeste (W)	12	6	2	4	23	17	20
9	River Plate (W)	10	5	2	3	14	9	17
10	Social Atletico Television (W)	13	4	5	4	10	13	17
11	Lanus (W)	13	4	4	5	10	16	16
12	Union Santa Fe (W)	13	3	4	6	16	23	13
13	Gimnasia LP (W)	13	3	1	9	8	21	10
14	Huracan (W)	13	2	3	8	11	21	9
15	CA Independiente Women	13	3	0	10	15	37	9
16	Newell's Old Boys (W)	13	0	2	11	4	25	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Union Santa Fe (W)	Racing Club (W)
San Lorenzo (W)	4-1 W	0-1 L
Lanus (W)	0-0 D	3-1 W
Social Atletico Television (W)	1-3 L	0-1 L
CA Independiente Women	1-3 L	5-1 W
Huracan (W)	1-1 D	2-2 D
Belgrano (W)	1-1 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Racing Club (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Santa Fe (W)

DDLLLDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/11	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-0	4-1	1	4	W
05/11	CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-2	2-3	2	7	L
02/10	Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
27/09	Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
19/09	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
12/09	San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-2	0-3	5	6	L
07/09	Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
31/08	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	0-1	1-3	0	5	L
22/08	Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
16/08	Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-1	1	0	D

Racing Club (W)

LLWWLDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/11	CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women	2-0	5-1	2	1	W
06/11	Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-2	2-2	3	4	D
31/10	Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-0	3-1	4	2	W
02/10	Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	3-1	7	7	W
27/09	River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
18/09	Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
12/09	Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women	3-0	4-0	3	7	W
04/09	Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women	2-1	4-1	2	4	W
31/08	Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
24/08	San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women	0-0	0-1	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Santa Fe (W) vs Racing Club (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Racing Club (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Union Santa Fe (W) 13%, draw 20%, Racing Club (W) 67%.

How many goals are expected in Union Santa Fe (W) vs Racing Club (W)?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Union Santa Fe (W) 0.94 · Racing Club (W) 2.32), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Santa Fe (W) vs Racing Club (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.