Football · Argentina Championship Women · 15/11, 21:30
Prediction: San Luis FC (W) vs San Lorenzo (W)
Team pages: San Luis FC (W) · San Lorenzo (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
San Luis FC (W)0.88
San Lorenzo (W)1.62
1X2
San Luis FC (W)
Draw
San Lorenzo (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
San Luis FC (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
San Lorenzo (W)
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Luis FC (W)
0–1–3
San Lorenzo (W)
(4 last)
- San Lorenzo (W)1-0San Luis FC (W)
- San Lorenzo (W)4-0San Luis FC (W)
- San Lorenzo (W)3-1San Luis FC (W)
- San Luis FC (W)0-0San Lorenzo (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Luis FC (W) 1513 · San Lorenzo (W) 1538
| San Luis FC (W) | Draw | San Lorenzo (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 27% | 53% |
| Market | 20% | 26% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours San Lorenzo (W): 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Luis FC (W) | San Lorenzo (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 1.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.5 | 1.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Luis FC (W) 0–1–3 San Lorenzo (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/26 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Luis FC (W) |
| 13/05/25 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | San Luis FC (W) |
| 30/09/24 Argentina Championship Women | San Lorenzo (W) | 3-1 HT 1-1 | San Luis FC (W) |
| 11/05/24 Argentina Championship Women | San Luis FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Lorenzo (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors (W) | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 29 |
| 2 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Banfield (W) | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 27 |
| 4 | San Luis FC (W) | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 24 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo (W) | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | Racing Club (W) | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | Belgrano (W) | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 20 |
| 8 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 20 |
| 9 | River Plate (W) | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 10 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 17 |
| 11 | Lanus (W) | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 16 |
| 12 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 13 |
| 13 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 10 |
| 14 | Huracan (W) | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 21 | 9 |
| 15 | CA Independiente Women | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 9 |
| 16 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 25 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Luis FC (W) | San Lorenzo (W) |
|---|---|---|
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Social Atletico Television (W) | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Union Santa Fe (W) | 3-0 W | 1-4 L |
| CA Independiente Women | 3-1 W | 5-1 W |
| Huracan (W) | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Belgrano (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: San Luis FC (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Luis FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/11 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/09 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
San Lorenzo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 06/11 | CA Independiente Women Argentina Championship Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/10 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
3-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/09 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 04/09 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Racing Club (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/08 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 10/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Luis FC (W) vs San Lorenzo (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an San Lorenzo (W) win (54%). Probabilities: San Luis FC (W) 20%, draw 26%, San Lorenzo (W) 54%.
How many goals are expected in San Luis FC (W) vs San Lorenzo (W)?
The model expects 2.5 goals (San Luis FC (W) 0.88 · San Lorenzo (W) 1.62), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in San Luis FC (W) vs San Lorenzo (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.