Football · Colombia Primera B · 12/11, 02:10
Prediction: Deportes Quindio vs Tigres FC
Team pages: Deportes Quindio · Tigres FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.99Total
Deportes Quindio1.33
Tigres FC0.66
1X2
Deportes Quindio
Draw
Tigres FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Quindio
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Tigres FC
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Quindio
5–1
Tigres FC
(6 last)
- Tigres FC2-0Deportes Quindio
- Deportes Quindio2-0Tigres FC
- Tigres FC0-1Deportes Quindio
- Deportes Quindio1-0Tigres FC
- Tigres FC0-1Deportes Quindio
- Deportes Quindio2-1Tigres FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Quindio 1560 · Tigres FC 1504
| Deportes Quindio | Draw | Tigres FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 31% | 17% |
| Market | 54% | 27% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportes Quindio (rating 1560 vs 1504).
- H2H favours Deportes Quindio: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Quindio | Tigres FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.9 | 2.3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Quindio 5–0–1 Tigres FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Quindio |
| 24/10/26 Colombia Primera B | Deportes Quindio | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Tigres FC |
| 10/05/26 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportes Quindio |
| 05/05/26 Colombia Primera B | Deportes Quindio | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Tigres FC |
| 18/04/26 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Quindio |
| 17/10/25 Colombia Primera B | Deportes Quindio | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Tigres FC |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportes Quindio | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Tigres FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Quindio | Tigres FC |
|---|---|---|
| Real Cartagena | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Atletico Cali FC | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Barranquilla FC | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Quindio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/11 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
2-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 29/10 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/10 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 20/10 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 16/10 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 12/10 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/10 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 29/09 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/09 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
Tigres FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/11 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 29/10 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 24/10 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20/10 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 15/10 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 08/10 | Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 04/10 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/09 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 4 | D |
| 22/09 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Quindio vs Tigres FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Quindio win (53%). Probabilities: Deportes Quindio 53%, draw 29%, Tigres FC 18%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Quindio vs Tigres FC?
The model expects 1.99 goals (Deportes Quindio 1.33 · Tigres FC 0.66), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Quindio vs Tigres FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.