Football · Colombia Primera B · 15/11, 20:00

Prediction: Boca Juniors De Cali vs Independiente Valle del Cauca

Team pages: Boca Juniors De Cali · Independiente Valle del Cauca

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Boca Juniors De Cali1.31
Independiente Valle del Cauca1.1
1X2
40% 30% 30%
Boca Juniors De Cali Draw Independiente Valle del Cauca
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Boca Juniors De Cali 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDLLLWDWWL
Independiente Valle del Cauca 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
WWDDWLLLDD
Head-to-head
Boca Juniors De Cali 1–1–1 Independiente Valle del Cauca (3 last)
  • Independiente Valle del Cauca2-4Boca Juniors De Cali
  • Independiente Valle del Cauca3-0Boca Juniors De Cali
  • Boca Juniors De Cali0-0Independiente Valle del Cauca
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boca Juniors De Cali 1503 · Independiente Valle del Cauca 1497
Boca Juniors De CaliDrawIndependiente Valle del Cauca
Our model40%30%30%
Market40%29%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Boca Juniors De CaliIndependiente Valle del Cauca
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.41.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.50.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 41.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.23.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Boca Juniors De Cali 1–1–1 Independiente Valle del Cauca

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/11/26
Colombia Primera B
Independiente Valle del Cauca2-4
HT 1-2
Boca Juniors De Cali
20/10/26
Colombia Primera B
Independiente Valle del Cauca3-0
HT 1-0
Boca Juniors De Cali
07/04/26
Colombia Primera B
Boca Juniors De Cali0-0
HT 0-0
Independiente Valle del Cauca

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Envigado FC 4211 527
2 Boca Juniors De Cali 4211 657
3 Union Magdalena 4040 334
4 Independiente Valle del Cauca 4022 372

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBoca Juniors De CaliIndependiente Valle del Cauca
Envigado FC 0-2 L 0-2 L
Union Magdalena 1-1 D 0-0 D
Orsomarso 0-1 L 4-3 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Independiente Valle del Cauca (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boca Juniors De Cali

WDLLLWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/11 Envigado FC
Colombia Primera B
0-1 0-2 53 L
06/11 Envigado FC
Colombia Primera B
0-0 1-0 43 W
02/11 Independiente Valle del Cauca
Colombia Primera B
2-1 4-2 41 W
29/10 Union Magdalena
Colombia Primera B
1-1 1-1 44 D
24/10 Internacional FC de Palmira
Colombia Primera B
0-0 2-1 52 W
20/10 Independiente Valle del Cauca
Colombia Primera B
0-1 0-3 34 L
17/10 Atletico Cali FC
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-1 51 L
12/10 Orsomarso
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-1 –– L
08/10 Union Magdalena
Colombia Primera B
1-1 1-1 58 D
04/10 Real Cartagena
Colombia Primera B
2-0 3-2 15 W

Independiente Valle del Cauca

WWDDWLLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/11 Union Magdalena
Colombia Primera B
0-0 0-0 31 D
06/11 Union Magdalena
Colombia Primera B
1-1 1-1 13 D
02/11 Boca Juniors De Cali
Colombia Primera B
1-2 2-4 21 L
29/10 Envigado FC
Colombia Primera B
0-2 0-2 74 L
24/10 Real Soacha Cundinamarca
Colombia Primera B
0-1 0-1 57 L
20/10 Boca Juniors De Cali
Colombia Primera B
1-0 3-0 74 W
16/10 Union Magdalena
Colombia Primera B
1-0 1-1 51 D
08/10 Tigres FC
Colombia Primera B
0-0 1-1 74 D
03/10 Patriotas FC
Colombia Primera B
0-0 1-0 06 W
28/09 Orsomarso
Colombia Primera B
1-0 4-3 46 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Independiente Valle del Cauca?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Boca Juniors De Cali win (40%). Probabilities: Boca Juniors De Cali 40%, draw 30%, Independiente Valle del Cauca 30%.

How many goals are expected in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Independiente Valle del Cauca?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Boca Juniors De Cali 1.31 · Independiente Valle del Cauca 1.1), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Independiente Valle del Cauca?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.