Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 01/11, 03:00

Prediction: CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Coatepeque FC

Team pages: CS Deportivo Sacachispas · Coatepeque FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.14Total

CS Deportivo Sacachispas1.58

Coatepeque FC0.56

1X2

62% 26% 12%

CS Deportivo Sacachispas Draw Coatepeque FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Deportivo Sacachispas 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWWDDL

Coatepeque FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLLWWWWDLW

Head-to-head

CS Deportivo Sacachispas 1–2 Coatepeque FC (3 last)

Coatepeque FC1-0CS Deportivo Sacachispas
Coatepeque FC2-1CS Deportivo Sacachispas
CS Deportivo Sacachispas1-0Coatepeque FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Deportivo Sacachispas 1539 · Coatepeque FC 1525

	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	Draw	Coatepeque FC
Our model	61%	27%	12%
Market	62%	25%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Coatepeque FC: 2-0-1.
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	Coatepeque FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.8	1.1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 6.6	3.7 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 1.2	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.44

X3.60

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.02

2 (+1.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.05

Under 2.251.75

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:52 +3’	1.44	3.60	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Deportivo Sacachispas 1–0–2 Coatepeque FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/10/26 Guatemala Primera Division	Coatepeque FC	1-0	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
20/04/25 Guatemala Primera Division	Coatepeque FC	2-1 HT 2-1	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
17/04/25 Guatemala Primera Division	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	1-0 HT 1-0	Coatepeque FC

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mictlán	18	12	4	2	41	16	40
2	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	18	13	1	4	29	20	40
3	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	18	11	4	3	35	14	37
4	Deportivo Fraijanes	18	8	3	7	31	27	27
5	CSD Sayaxche	18	7	5	6	23	18	26
6	San Benito FC	18	8	2	8	28	28	26
7	CD Achuapa	18	6	3	9	17	22	21
8	CSD Chiquimulilla	18	6	2	10	20	22	20
9	AFF Guatemala	18	5	0	13	11	34	15
10	Champs Academy	18	1	2	15	7	41	5

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Deportivo Sacachispas

WLDWWWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
25/10	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
19/10	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	1-1	1-1	8	7	D
11/10	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	2-1	6	11	W
08/10	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	2-0	3-1	1	5	W
04/10	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
01/10	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
27/09	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
20/09	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
13/09	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	3-0	11	4	W

Coatepeque FC

DLLWWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
25/10	Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
18/10	Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
11/10	Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-0	9	10	W
07/10	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
04/10	CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	3-0	1	7	W
30/09	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-0	12	3	W
27/09	Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
20/09	Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
13/09	Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	3-3	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Coatepeque FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Deportivo Sacachispas win (62%). Probabilities: CS Deportivo Sacachispas 62%, draw 26%, Coatepeque FC 12%.

How many goals are expected in CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Coatepeque FC?

The model expects 2.14 goals (CS Deportivo Sacachispas 1.58 · Coatepeque FC 0.56), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Coatepeque FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.