Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 25/10, 18:00

Prediction: CD Achuapa vs Champs Academy

Team pages: CD Achuapa · Champs Academy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

CD Achuapa1.87

Champs Academy0.63

1X2

67% 22% 11%

CD Achuapa Draw Champs Academy

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Achuapa 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLLDWLLD

Champs Academy 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDLLWDLLLL

Head-to-head

CD Achuapa 0–1–0 Champs Academy (1 last)

Champs Academy0-0CD Achuapa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Achuapa 1457 · Champs Academy 1429

	CD Achuapa	Draw	Champs Academy
Our model	66%	23%	11%
Market	67%	21%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 12.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Achuapa	Champs Academy
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.5	0.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1	0.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	0/25/75%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 3.6	0.3 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.6 / 0.8	6.2 / 1.2

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.33

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 07:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.25▼	Bet365 1.25
X	4.33 → 4.75▲	Pinn 5.64 ★
2	7.50 → 9.50▲	Pinn 10.85

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
19:01 +6’	1.33	4.33	7.50
07:02 +10’	1.25▼	4.75▲	9.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:14 +2’	1.17	5.64	10.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Achuapa 0–1–0 Champs Academy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Guatemala Primera Division	Champs Academy	0-0	CD Achuapa

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	17	12	1	4	27	19	37
2	Mictlán	16	11	3	2	36	14	36
3	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	17	11	3	3	34	13	36
4	Deportivo Fraijanes	17	8	2	7	29	25	26
5	San Benito FC	16	8	2	6	27	23	26
6	CSD Sayaxche	17	7	4	6	22	17	25
7	CSD Chiquimulilla	17	6	2	9	19	20	20
8	CD Achuapa	17	5	3	9	13	22	18
9	AFF Guatemala	17	4	0	13	9	33	12
10	Champs Academy	17	1	2	14	7	37	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Achuapa	Champs Academy
CSD Chiquimulilla	2-2 D	0-2 L
CS Deportivo Sacachispas	1-2 L	0-3 L
San Benito FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
AFF Guatemala	1-0 W	2-0 W
CSD Sayaxche	1-1 D	0-1 L
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	0-1 L	0-1 L
Mictlán	1-4 L	0-3 L
Deportivo Fraijanes	0-3 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 5 L	1 W 1 D 6 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Achuapa

WDLLLDWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-2	–	–	D
11/10	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	1-2	3	11	L
08/10	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
04/10	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
30/09	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
20/09	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	0-2	1-4	5	8	L
13/09	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	0-2	0-3	6	7	L
05/09	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
30/08	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	1-0	1	7	W

Champs Academy

LDLLWDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-3	7	6	L
11/10	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	0-2	0-3	0	6	L
08/10	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-2	0	4	L
04/10	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
01/10	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	2-0	2	12	W
20/09	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
13/09	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
30/08	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	1-2	1-3	3	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Achuapa vs Champs Academy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Achuapa win (67%). Probabilities: CD Achuapa 67%, draw 22%, Champs Academy 11%.

How many goals are expected in CD Achuapa vs Champs Academy?

The model expects 2.5 goals (CD Achuapa 1.87 · Champs Academy 0.63), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Achuapa vs Champs Academy?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.