Prediction: Coatepeque FC vs Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
Team pages: Coatepeque FC · Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
| Coatepeque FC | Draw | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 33% | 20% |
| Market | 50% | 28% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nueva Santa Rosa CDF (rating 1518 vs 1601).
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coatepeque FC | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 1.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 43/57/0% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.7 | 3.2 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 6.3 / 0.5 |
Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mictlán | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 16 | 40 |
| 2 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 40 |
| 3 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 37 |
| 4 | Deportivo Fraijanes | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 27 |
| 5 | CSD Sayaxche | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | San Benito FC | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 26 |
| 7 | CD Achuapa | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 22 | 21 |
| 8 | CSD Chiquimulilla | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 22 | 20 |
| 9 | AFF Guatemala | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 11 | 34 | 15 |
| 10 | Champs Academy | 18 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 41 | 5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coatepeque FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 28/10 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/10 | Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 18/10 | Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/10 | Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 10 | W |
| 07/10 | Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 04/10 | CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 30/09 | Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/10 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 11/10 | San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 07/10 | AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 04/10 | CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 01/10 | Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division |
3-1 | 4-3 | 4 | 12 | W |
| 27/09 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coatepeque FC vs Nueva Santa Rosa CDF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Coatepeque FC win (49%). Probabilities: Coatepeque FC 49%, draw 30%, Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 21%.
How many goals are expected in Coatepeque FC vs Nueva Santa Rosa CDF?
The model expects 1.91 goals (Coatepeque FC 1.22 · Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 0.7), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Coatepeque FC vs Nueva Santa Rosa CDF?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.