Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 08/11, 22:00
Prediction: Mictlán vs CSD Sayaxche
Team pages: Mictlán · CSD Sayaxche
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Mictlán2.13
CSD Sayaxche0.68
1X2
Mictlán
Draw
CSD Sayaxche
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Mictlán
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
CSD Sayaxche
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mictlán
3–1–1
CSD Sayaxche
(5 last)
- CSD Sayaxche0-0Mictlán
- CSD Sayaxche2-1Mictlán
- Mictlán2-0CSD Sayaxche
- Mictlán4-3CSD Sayaxche
- Mictlán1-0CSD Sayaxche
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mictlán 1541 · CSD Sayaxche 1492
| Mictlán | Draw | CSD Sayaxche | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 20% | 10% |
| Market | 70% | 20% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mictlán (rating 1541 vs 1492).
- H2H favours Mictlán: 3-1-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mictlán | CSD Sayaxche | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.7 / 0.6 | 0 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 86/0/14% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 5.9 | 3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.7 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mictlán 3–1–1 CSD Sayaxche
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/26 Guatemala Primera Division | CSD Sayaxche | 0-0 | Mictlán |
| 07/10/26 Guatemala Primera Division | CSD Sayaxche | 2-1 | Mictlán |
| 20/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division | Mictlán | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CSD Sayaxche |
| 18/04/21 Guatemala Primera Division | Mictlán | 4-3 HT 2-3 | CSD Sayaxche |
| 17/10/20 Guatemala Primera Division | Mictlán | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CSD Sayaxche |
Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mictlán | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 16 | 40 |
| 2 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 40 |
| 3 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 37 |
| 4 | Deportivo Fraijanes | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 27 |
| 5 | CSD Sayaxche | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | San Benito FC | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 26 |
| 7 | CD Achuapa | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 22 | 21 |
| 8 | CSD Chiquimulilla | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 22 | 20 |
| 9 | AFF Guatemala | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 11 | 34 | 15 |
| 10 | Champs Academy | 18 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 41 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mictlán | CSD Sayaxche |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Fraijanes | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| AFF Guatemala | 4-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | 3-4 L | 0-1 L |
| CS Deportivo Sacachispas | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| CD Achuapa | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| San Benito FC | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Mictlán (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mictlán
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/10 | Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 07/10 | CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 01/10 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division |
1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 12 | L |
| 27/09 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 20/09 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division |
2-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 13/09 | San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 5 | D |
CSD Sayaxche
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 31/10 | Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/10 | Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/10 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/10 | San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/10 | Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 30/09 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/09 | Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mictlán vs CSD Sayaxche?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mictlán win (70%). Probabilities: Mictlán 70%, draw 20%, CSD Sayaxche 10%.
How many goals are expected in Mictlán vs CSD Sayaxche?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Mictlán 2.13 · CSD Sayaxche 0.68), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Mictlán vs CSD Sayaxche?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.