Football · Hungary NB III · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: III Keruleti TUE vs Monori SE

Team pages: III Keruleti TUE · Monori SE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

III Keruleti TUE1.7

Monori SE1.17

1X2

49% 25% 26%

III Keruleti TUE Draw Monori SE

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

III Keruleti TUE 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWLDDL

Monori SE 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDWDDLLD

Head-to-head

III Keruleti TUE 3–2–1 Monori SE (6 last)

Monori SE2-2III Keruleti TUE
III Keruleti TUE1-2Monori SE
III Keruleti TUE3-0Monori SE
III Keruleti TUE2-1Monori SE
Monori SE0-2III Keruleti TUE
III Keruleti TUE1-1Monori SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · III Keruleti TUE 1520 · Monori SE 1473

	III Keruleti TUE	Draw	Monori SE
Our model	49%	26%	25%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours III Keruleti TUE (rating 1520 vs 1473).
H2H favours III Keruleti TUE: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	III Keruleti TUE	Monori SE
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.6	2.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.3	2.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.80

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:07 +6’	1.80	3.80	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · III Keruleti TUE 3–2–1 Monori SE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Hungary NB III	Monori SE	2-2 HT 2-2	III Keruleti TUE
10/08/25 Hungary NB III	III Keruleti TUE	1-2 HT 0-0	Monori SE
02/07/25 Club Friendly List	III Keruleti TUE	3-0 HT 1-0	Monori SE
01/02/25 Europe Friendlies	III Keruleti TUE	2-1 HT 1-0	Monori SE
13/07/24 Europe Friendlies	Monori SE	0-2 HT 0-0	III Keruleti TUE
24/07/22 Club Friendly List	III Keruleti TUE	1-1 HT 0-1	Monori SE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gyulai Termal	13	13	0	0	44	10	39
2	ESMTK	13	9	3	1	35	13	30
3	III Keruleti TUE	13	8	2	3	16	6	26
4	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	13	6	5	2	24	16	23
5	Csepel	13	5	5	3	27	20	20
6	Vasas SC II	13	5	4	4	26	15	19
7	Ujpest II	13	5	4	4	29	20	19
8	FC Dabas	13	4	3	6	18	30	15
9	Monori SE	13	3	6	4	23	24	15
10	Bekescsabai Elore SE	13	3	5	5	19	19	14
11	Szolnoki Mav FC	13	3	5	5	28	31	14
12	Kispest Honved II	13	3	3	7	21	23	12
13	Sandorfalvi SK	13	3	2	8	8	30	11
14	Szegedi VSE	13	2	3	8	18	37	9
15	Hodmezovasarhelyi	13	1	6	6	15	27	9
16	BKV Elore SC	13	2	2	9	14	44	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	III Keruleti TUE	Monori SE
Gyulai Termal	0-1 L	1-4 L
Ujpest II	0-0 D	2-2 D
Szolnoki Mav FC	1-1 D	4-4 D
Kispest Honved II	0-1 L	1-1 D
Szegedi VSE	1-0 W	3-2 W
FC Dabas	1-0 W	2-3 L
Vasas SC II	0-3 L	1-1 D
Bekescsabai Elore SE	2-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: III Keruleti TUE (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

III Keruleti TUE

WWLWWWLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
18/10	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
10/10	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
04/10	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	1	8	L
26/09	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
20/09	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
05/09	Szeged-Csanad Grosics II Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
30/08	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-2	0-3	6	3	L
26/08	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
15/08	Sandorfalvi SK Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	–	–	W

Monori SE

LWWDWDDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Vasas SC II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
17/10	Gyulai Termal Hungary NB III	1-1	1-4	6	5	L
10/10	Bekescsabai Elore SE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	7	3	L
03/10	Ujpest II Hungary NB III	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
19/09	Szolnoki Mav FC Hungary NB III	1-2	4-4	–	–	D
05/09	BKV Elore SC Hungary NB III	0-1	3-1	7	5	W
30/08	Kispest Honved II Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
26/08	Hodmezovasarhelyi Hungary NB III	1-0	4-1	5	5	W
15/08	Szegedi VSE Hungary NB III	0-2	3-2	–	–	W
12/08	FC Dabas Hungary NB III	1-2	2-3	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in III Keruleti TUE vs Monori SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a III Keruleti TUE win (49%). Probabilities: III Keruleti TUE 49%, draw 25%, Monori SE 26%.

How many goals are expected in III Keruleti TUE vs Monori SE?

The model expects 2.86 goals (III Keruleti TUE 1.7 · Monori SE 1.17), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in III Keruleti TUE vs Monori SE?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.