Football · South Korea K4 League · 31/10, 06:00

Prediction: Geumsan Insam vs Sejong SA

Team pages: Geumsan Insam · Sejong SA

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.63Total
Geumsan Insam2.26
Sejong SA1.37
1X2
56% 22% 22%
Geumsan Insam Draw Sejong SA
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Geumsan Insam 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WDWWLWDDLW
Sejong SA 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LWWLWLLWLW
Head-to-head
Geumsan Insam 0–1 Sejong SA (1 last)
  • Sejong SA3-2Geumsan Insam
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Geumsan Insam 1514 · Sejong SA 1492
Geumsan InsamDrawSejong SA
Our model57%22%22%
Market56%22%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.63 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Geumsan InsamSejong SA
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.12.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.61.1 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/33/33%33/22/44%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 42.8 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.32.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Geumsan Insam 0–0–1 Sejong SA

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
23/05/26
South Korea K4 League
Sejong SA3-2
HT 1-2
Geumsan Insam

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGeumsan InsamSejong SA
Namyangju FC 2-0 W 3-0 W
Gijang United 1-3 L 5-2 W
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 0-0 D 1-7 L
Seosan Pioneer 3-0 W 2-1 W
Jecheon Citizen 2-1 W 4-5 L
Haman 3-1 W 0-1 L
Pyeongchang United 1-1 D 1-3 L
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Geumsan Insam (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Geumsan Insam

WDWWLWDDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
2-0 2-0 26 W
13/09 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
0-2 1-3 42 L
05/09 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-0 47 D
30/08 Jinju Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-1 37 D
23/08 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
2-0 3-0 13 W
25/07 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
– 1-3 –– L
11/07 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
2-0 2-1 13 W
27/06 Haman
South Korea K4 League
0-1 3-1 102 W
07/06 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-1 84 D
31/05 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
1-1 2-1 32 W

Sejong SA

LWWLWLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
2-0 5-2 43 W
04/10 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-5 1-7 62 L
06/09 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
1-1 2-1 35 W
23/08 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
2-2 4-5 80 L
26/07 Haman
South Korea K4 League
– 0-1 –– L
11/07 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
1-0 4-1 64 W
28/06 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
1-2 1-3 53 L
30/05 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
2-0 3-0 01 W
23/05 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
1-2 3-2 83 W
17/05 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
0-1 0-1 143 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Geumsan Insam vs Sejong SA?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Geumsan Insam win (56%). Probabilities: Geumsan Insam 56%, draw 22%, Sejong SA 22%.

How many goals are expected in Geumsan Insam vs Sejong SA?

The model expects 3.63 goals (Geumsan Insam 2.26 · Sejong SA 1.37), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Geumsan Insam vs Sejong SA?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.