Football · South Korea K4 League · 31/10, 06:00

Prediction: Jincheon HR vs Jinju Citizen FC

Team pages: Jincheon HR · Jinju Citizen FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Jincheon HR1.74
Jinju Citizen FC1.3
1X2
47% 25% 28%
Jincheon HR Draw Jinju Citizen FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Jincheon HR 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWDLWWLDWD
Jinju Citizen FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWWWWWDLDL
Head-to-head
Jincheon HR 1–0 Jinju Citizen FC (1 last)
  • Jinju Citizen FC2-6Jincheon HR
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jincheon HR 1531 · Jinju Citizen FC 1521
Jincheon HRDrawJinju Citizen FC
Our model47%26%28%
Market47%25%28%
Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Jincheon HRJinju Citizen FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.31.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.30.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)44/33/22%22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.32.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 04.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jincheon HR 1–0–0 Jinju Citizen FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/05/26
South Korea K4 League
Jinju Citizen FC2-6
HT 1-3
Jincheon HR

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJincheon HRJinju Citizen FC
Seosan Pioneer 1-1 D 1-0 W
Jecheon Citizen 1-1 D 2-0 W
Haman 1-3 L 4-1 W
Pyeongchang United 1-0 W 1-2 L
Geoje Citizen FC 4-1 W 0-0 D
Namyangju FC 2-2 D 1-2 L
Gijang United 2-0 W 4-1 W
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 0-1 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 2 L 5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Jinju Citizen FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jincheon HR

LWDLWWLDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-1 34 D
04/10 Seoul Jungnang FC
South Korea K4 League
2-0 4-0 43 W
12/09 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
1-1 1-1 54 D
06/09 Haman
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-3 63 L
22/08 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
1-0 1-0 75 W
25/07 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
– 4-1 –– W
11/07 Sejong SA
South Korea K4 League
0-1 1-4 24 L
28/06 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
1-0 2-2 93 D
07/06 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
0-0 2-0 46 W
30/05 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-1 85 L

Jinju Citizen FC

LWWWWWDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Pyeongchang United
South Korea K4 League
1-1 1-2 86 L
03/10 Geoje Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
0-0 0-0 24 D
06/09 Namyangju FC
South Korea K4 League
0-2 1-2 84 L
30/08 Geumsan Insam
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-1 27 D
22/08 Gijang United
South Korea K4 League
1-1 4-1 43 W
26/07 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
South Korea K4 League
– 2-0 –– W
27/06 Seosan Pioneer
South Korea K4 League
0-0 1-0 102 W
06/06 Jecheon Citizen
South Korea K4 League
1-0 2-0 54 W
31/05 Haman
South Korea K4 League
2-0 4-1 67 W
23/05 Jincheon HR
South Korea K4 League
1-3 2-6 52 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jincheon HR vs Jinju Citizen FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jincheon HR win (47%). Probabilities: Jincheon HR 47%, draw 25%, Jinju Citizen FC 28%.

How many goals are expected in Jincheon HR vs Jinju Citizen FC?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Jincheon HR 1.74 · Jinju Citizen FC 1.3), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Jincheon HR vs Jinju Citizen FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.