Football · South Korea K4 League · 31/10, 06:00

Prediction: Pyeongchang United vs Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

Team pages: Pyeongchang United · Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

Pyeongchang United1.82

Pyeongtaek Citizen FC1.49

1X2

45% 24% 31%

Pyeongchang United Draw Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Pyeongchang United 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLLWWLDW

Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLDDWL

Head-to-head

Pyeongchang United 5–1–0 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC (6 last)

Pyeongtaek Citizen FC0-1Pyeongchang United
Pyeongchang United2-2Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC2-4Pyeongchang United
Pyeongchang United3-0Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
Pyeongchang United3-2Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC1-2Pyeongchang United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pyeongchang United 1521 · Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 1430

	Pyeongchang United	Draw	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
Our model	45%	25%	31%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pyeongchang United (rating 1521 vs 1430).
H2H favours Pyeongchang United: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pyeongchang United	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.6	1.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	22/44/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.75

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:01 +15’	2.00	3.75	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pyeongchang United 5–1–0 Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 South Korea K4 League	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Pyeongchang United
18/10/25 South Korea K4 League	Pyeongchang United	2-2 HT 0-0	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
17/08/25 South Korea K4 League	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC	2-4 HT 0-3	Pyeongchang United
18/05/25 South Korea K4 League	Pyeongchang United	3-0 HT 0-0	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
20/07/24 South Korea K4 League	Pyeongchang United	3-2 HT 2-0	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
20/04/24 South Korea K4 League	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC	1-2 HT 0-1	Pyeongchang United

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pyeongchang United	Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
Jinju Citizen FC	2-1 W	0-2 L
Seosan Pioneer	1-1 D	0-5 L
Seoul Jungnang FC	2-3 L	1-1 D
Haman	3-2 W	0-2 L
Jincheon HR	0-1 L	1-0 W
Geoje Citizen FC	1-3 L	0-3 L
Sejong SA	3-1 W	7-1 W
Geumsan Insam	1-1 D	0-0 D
Gijang United	4-2 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Pyeongchang United (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pyeongchang United

WDWLLWWLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	1-1	2-1	0	6	W
04/10	Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
12/09	Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League	1-1	2-3	3	3	L
05/09	Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League	0-1	2-1	11	3	W
29/08	Haman South Korea K4 League	0-1	3-2	3	5	W
22/08	Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
11/07	Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
28/06	Sejong SA South Korea K4 League	2-1	3-1	3	3	W
07/06	Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
30/05	Gijang United South Korea K4 League	3-0	4-2	3	1	W

Pyeongtaek Citizen FC

WLDLLLDDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	0-1	0-3	5	1	L
04/10	Sejong SA South Korea K4 League	5-0	7-1	6	2	W
13/09	Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League	0-0	2-2	4	1	D
05/09	Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
29/08	Gijang United South Korea K4 League	0-1	2-3	6	1	L
26/07	Jinju Citizen FC South Korea K4 League	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/07	Seosan Pioneer South Korea K4 League	0-3	0-5	5	2	L
27/06	Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League	1-0	1-1	2	1	D
06/06	Haman South Korea K4 League	0-0	0-2	7	7	L
30/05	Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League	0-0	1-0	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pyeongchang United vs Pyeongtaek Citizen FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pyeongchang United win (45%). Probabilities: Pyeongchang United 45%, draw 24%, Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 31%.

How many goals are expected in Pyeongchang United vs Pyeongtaek Citizen FC?

The model expects 3.31 goals (Pyeongchang United 1.82 · Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 1.49), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Pyeongchang United vs Pyeongtaek Citizen FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.