Football · Costa Rica Primera Division Women · 30/10, 02:00

Prediction: Sporting San Jose (W) vs Deportivo Saprissa (W)

Team pages: Sporting San Jose (W) · Deportivo Saprissa (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.12Total

Sporting San Jose (W)2.25

Deportivo Saprissa (W)1.88

1X2

45% 23% 32%

Sporting San Jose (W) Draw Deportivo Saprissa (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Sporting San Jose (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDLDWLDWW

Deportivo Saprissa (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWDWWD

Head-to-head

Sporting San Jose (W) 1–5 Deportivo Saprissa (W) (6 last)

Deportivo Saprissa (W)5-3Sporting San Jose (W)
Deportivo Saprissa (W)4-1Sporting San Jose (W)
Deportivo Saprissa (W)3-1Sporting San Jose (W)
Sporting San Jose (W)1-2Deportivo Saprissa (W)
Sporting San Jose (W)3-1Deportivo Saprissa (W)
Deportivo Saprissa (W)2-1Sporting San Jose (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sporting San Jose (W) 1520 · Deportivo Saprissa (W) 1599

	Sporting San Jose (W)	Draw	Deportivo Saprissa (W)
Our model	46%	21%	32%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 4.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Saprissa (W) (rating 1520 vs 1599).
H2H favours Deportivo Saprissa (W): 5-0-1.
High corners: 15 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sporting San Jose (W)	Deportivo Saprissa (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.9 / 1.9	3.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.8 / 0.9	1.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/11/44%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 7.9	3 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	1.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.70

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 2 · xG: 5.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:56 +8’	2.00	3.70	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting San Jose (W) 1–0–5 Deportivo Saprissa (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 Costa Rica Primera Division Women	Deportivo Saprissa (W)	5-3 HT 3-2	Sporting San Jose (W)
12/05/26 Costa Rica Primera Division Women	Deportivo Saprissa (W)	4-1 HT 1-0	Sporting San Jose (W)
08/05/26 Costa Rica Primera Division Women	Deportivo Saprissa (W)	3-1 HT 1-0	Sporting San Jose (W)
20/03/26 Costa Rica Primera Division Women	Sporting San Jose (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Deportivo Saprissa (W)
13/11/25 Costa Rica Primera Division Women	Sporting San Jose (W)	3-1 HT 2-0	Deportivo Saprissa (W)
07/09/25 Costa Rica Primera Division Women	Deportivo Saprissa (W)	2-1 HT 2-0	Sporting San Jose (W)

Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alajuelense (W)	12	9	1	2	43	10	28
2	Deportivo Saprissa (W)	11	8	2	1	35	15	26
3	Sporting San Jose (W)	12	6	4	2	48	20	22
4	Dimas Escazu (W)	12	5	4	3	28	17	19
5	Moravia (W)	12	3	3	6	20	19	12
6	AD Chorotega (W)	12	3	1	8	12	48	10
7	Carrillo FF (W)	12	2	2	8	11	38	8
8	Municipal Pococi (W)	11	2	1	8	6	36	7
9	Cartagines (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sporting San Jose (W)	Deportivo Saprissa (W)
Carrillo FF (W)	7-2 W	2-1 W
Municipal Pococi (W)	3-0 W	8-0 W
Moravia (W)	1-1 D	2-0 W
Alajuelense (W)	2-4 L	2-2 D
AD Chorotega (W)	10-0 W	2-1 W
Dimas Escazu (W)	3-3 D	4-4 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Saprissa (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting San Jose (W)

DWDLDWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Carrillo FF (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	2-0	7-2	9	3	W
17/10	Municipal Pococi (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	–	3-0	–	–	W
09/10	Moravia (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
04/10	Alajuelense (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	1-2	2-4	3	0	L
26/09	AD Chorotega (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	6-0	10-0	12	2	W
20/09	Dimas Escazu (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	1-2	3-3	12	5	D
12/09	Deportivo Saprissa (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	2-3	3-5	2	2	L
06/09	Carrillo FF (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	Municipal Pococi (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	3-0	7-1	7	1	W
22/08	Moravia (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-0	2-2	13	2	D

Deportivo Saprissa (W)

WLWWWWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Alajuelense (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	2-1	2-2	7	2	D
17/10	Moravia (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	1-0	2-0	8	0	W
14/10	AD Chorotega (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Dimas Escazu (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	2-1	4-4	8	3	D
20/09	Carrillo FF (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Sporting San Jose (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	3-2	5-3	4	2	W
06/09	Municipal Pococi (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	3-0	8-0	–	–	W
28/08	Moravia (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	1-1	2-1	10	1	W
20/08	Alajuelense (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
16/08	AD Chorotega (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	1-2	5-2	12	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting San Jose (W) vs Deportivo Saprissa (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting San Jose (W) win (45%). Probabilities: Sporting San Jose (W) 45%, draw 23%, Deportivo Saprissa (W) 32%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting San Jose (W) vs Deportivo Saprissa (W)?

The model expects 4.12 goals (Sporting San Jose (W) 2.25 · Deportivo Saprissa (W) 1.88), with a 58% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting San Jose (W) vs Deportivo Saprissa (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.