Football · Costa Rica Primera Division Women · 07/11, 02:00

Prediction: Deportivo Saprissa (W) vs Carrillo FF (W)

Team pages: Deportivo Saprissa (W) · Carrillo FF (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.65Total

Deportivo Saprissa (W)3.33

Carrillo FF (W)1.33

1X2

84% 9% 7%

Deportivo Saprissa (W) Draw Carrillo FF (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Saprissa (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDWWDL

Carrillo FF (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLDLLL

Head-to-head

Deportivo Saprissa (W) 1–0 Carrillo FF (W) (1 last)

Carrillo FF (W)1-2Deportivo Saprissa (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Saprissa (W) 1560 · Carrillo FF (W) 1416

	Deportivo Saprissa (W)	Draw	Carrillo FF (W)
Our model	75%	14%	11%
Market	92%	6%	3%

Estimated total (ours) 4.65 goals · Bet365 line 4.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Saprissa (W) (rating 1560 vs 1416).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Saprissa (W)	Carrillo FF (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.4	0.9 / 3.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.6	0.1 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.9	1.3 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0	1.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.03

X17.00

234.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.75)1.95

2 (+3.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.98

Under 4.751.82

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.03 → 1.03	Bet365 1.03
X	17.00 → 17.00	Bet365 17.00
2	34.00 → 34.00	Bet365 34.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:28 +42’	1.03	17.00	34.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Saprissa (W) 1–0–0 Carrillo FF (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/09/26 Costa Rica Primera Division Women	Carrillo FF (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Deportivo Saprissa (W)

Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alajuelense (W)	12	9	1	2	43	10	28
2	Deportivo Saprissa (W)	12	8	2	2	35	16	26
3	Sporting San Jose (W)	13	7	4	2	49	20	25
4	Dimas Escazu (W)	13	6	4	3	30	17	22
5	Moravia (W)	13	4	3	6	24	20	15
6	AD Chorotega (W)	13	3	1	9	13	52	10
7	Carrillo FF (W)	12	2	2	8	11	38	8
8	Municipal Pococi (W)	12	2	1	9	6	38	7
9	Cartagines (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Saprissa (W)	Carrillo FF (W)
Sporting San Jose (W)	0-1 L	2-7 L
Alajuelense (W)	2-2 D	0-9 L
Moravia (W)	2-0 W	1-6 L
AD Chorotega (W)	2-1 W	1-2 L
Dimas Escazu (W)	4-4 D	0-0 D
Municipal Pococi (W)	8-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Saprissa (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Saprissa (W)

LWWWWDWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Sporting San Jose (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
21/10	Alajuelense (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	2-1	2-2	7	2	D
17/10	Moravia (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	1-0	2-0	8	0	W
14/10	AD Chorotega (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Dimas Escazu (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	2-1	4-4	8	3	D
20/09	Carrillo FF (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Sporting San Jose (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	3-2	5-3	4	2	W
06/09	Municipal Pococi (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	3-0	8-0	–	–	W
28/08	Moravia (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	1-1	2-1	10	1	W
20/08	Alajuelense (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-0	0-1	1	1	L

Carrillo FF (W)

WLDLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Sporting San Jose (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-2	2-7	2	3	L
18/10	AD Chorotega (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
10/10	Municipal Pococi (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
04/10	Dimas Escazu (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
27/09	Moravia (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-2	1-6	3	0	L
20/09	Deportivo Saprissa (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	Alajuelense (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-6	0-9	2	1	L
06/09	Sporting San Jose (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	AD Chorotega (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
23/08	Municipal Pococi (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Saprissa (W) vs Carrillo FF (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Saprissa (W) win (84%). Probabilities: Deportivo Saprissa (W) 84%, draw 9%, Carrillo FF (W) 7%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Saprissa (W) vs Carrillo FF (W)?

The model expects 4.65 goals (Deportivo Saprissa (W) 3.33 · Carrillo FF (W) 1.33), with a 54% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Saprissa (W) vs Carrillo FF (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.