Football · Costa Rica Primera Division Women · 24/10, 03:00

Prediction: Sporting San Jose (W) vs Carrillo FF (W)

Team pages: Sporting San Jose (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.22Total

Sporting San Jose (W)3.11

Carrillo FF (W)1.11

1X2

82% 11% 6%

Sporting San Jose (W) Draw Carrillo FF (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Sporting San Jose (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDLDWLDW

Carrillo FF (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLLDLL

Head-to-head

Sporting San Jose (W) 0–1–0 Carrillo FF (W) (1 last)

Carrillo FF (W)1-1Sporting San Jose (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sporting San Jose (W) 1534 · Carrillo FF (W) 1416

	Sporting San Jose (W)	Draw	Carrillo FF (W)
Our model	76%	14%	10%
Market	87%	9%	3%

Estimated total (ours) 4.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sporting San Jose (W) (rating 1534 vs 1416).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sporting San Jose (W)	Carrillo FF (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.4 / 1.7	0.7 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.9	0.1 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/22/44%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 7.1	2 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	0.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.07

X10.00

229.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.75)1.88

2 (+2.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 4.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.07 → 1.07	Bet365 1.07
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	29.00 → 29.00	Bet365 29.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:45 +28’	1.07	10.00	29.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting San Jose (W) 0–1–0 Carrillo FF (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 Costa Rica Primera Division Women	Carrillo FF (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Sporting San Jose (W)

Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Saprissa (W)	11	8	2	1	35	15	26
2	Alajuelense (W)	11	8	1	2	38	10	25
3	Sporting San Jose (W)	11	5	4	2	41	18	19
4	Dimas Escazu (W)	11	5	3	3	26	15	18
5	Moravia (W)	11	3	2	6	18	17	11
6	AD Chorotega (W)	11	3	1	7	12	43	10
7	Carrillo FF (W)	11	2	2	7	9	31	8
8	Municipal Pococi (W)	11	2	1	8	6	36	7
9	Cartagines (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sporting San Jose (W)	Carrillo FF (W)
Municipal Pococi (W)	3-0 W	0-2 L
Moravia (W)	1-1 D	1-6 L
Alajuelense (W)	2-4 L	0-9 L
AD Chorotega (W)	10-0 W	1-2 L
Dimas Escazu (W)	3-3 D	0-0 D
Deportivo Saprissa (W)	3-5 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Sporting San Jose (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting San Jose (W)

WDWDLDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Municipal Pococi (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	–	3-0	–	–	W
09/10	Moravia (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
04/10	Alajuelense (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	1-2	2-4	3	0	L
26/09	AD Chorotega (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	6-0	10-0	12	2	W
20/09	Dimas Escazu (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	1-2	3-3	12	5	D
12/09	Deportivo Saprissa (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	2-3	3-5	2	2	L
06/09	Carrillo FF (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	Municipal Pococi (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	3-0	7-1	7	1	W
22/08	Moravia (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-0	2-2	13	2	D
15/08	Alajuelense (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-0	2-0	3	5	W

Carrillo FF (W)

LWLDLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	AD Chorotega (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
10/10	Municipal Pococi (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
04/10	Dimas Escazu (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
27/09	Moravia (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-2	1-6	3	0	L
20/09	Deportivo Saprissa (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
12/09	Alajuelense (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-6	0-9	2	1	L
06/09	Sporting San Jose (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	AD Chorotega (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
23/08	Municipal Pococi (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
15/08	Dimas Escazu (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women	0-3	0-6	2	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting San Jose (W) vs Carrillo FF (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting San Jose (W) win (82%). Probabilities: Sporting San Jose (W) 82%, draw 11%, Carrillo FF (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting San Jose (W) vs Carrillo FF (W)?

The model expects 4.22 goals (Sporting San Jose (W) 3.11 · Carrillo FF (W) 1.11), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting San Jose (W) vs Carrillo FF (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.