Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 07/11, 15:00
Prediction: Velez Mostar vs NK Celik Zenica
Team pages: Velez Mostar · NK Celik Zenica
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Velez Mostar1.48
NK Celik Zenica0.83
1X2
Velez Mostar
Draw
NK Celik Zenica
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Velez Mostar
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
NK Celik Zenica
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Velez Mostar
1–1–4
NK Celik Zenica
(6 last)
- NK Celik Zenica3-0Velez Mostar
- NK Celik Zenica2-1Velez Mostar
- NK Celik Zenica0-2Velez Mostar
- Velez Mostar1-2NK Celik Zenica
- Velez Mostar0-0NK Celik Zenica
- NK Celik Zenica1-0Velez Mostar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Velez Mostar 1464 · NK Celik Zenica 1477
| Velez Mostar | Draw | NK Celik Zenica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 29% | 20% |
| Market | 52% | 27% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours NK Celik Zenica: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Velez Mostar | NK Celik Zenica | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.5 | 1.3 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.4 | 2.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Velez Mostar 1–1–4 NK Celik Zenica
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | NK Celik Zenica | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Velez Mostar |
| 19/06/22 Club Friendly List | NK Celik Zenica | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Velez Mostar |
| 25/10/19 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | NK Celik Zenica | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Velez Mostar |
| 03/08/19 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Velez Mostar | 1-2 HT 1-0 | NK Celik Zenica |
| 07/05/16 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Velez Mostar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | NK Celik Zenica |
| 31/10/15 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | NK Celik Zenica | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Velez Mostar |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski Mostar | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 28 |
| 3 | FK Sarajevo | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Siroki Brijeg | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 14 |
| 5 | BSK Banja Luka | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 13 |
| 6 | Zeljeznicar | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 13 |
| 7 | Radnik Bijeljina | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 11 |
| 8 | Velez Mostar | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 11 |
| 9 | NK Celik Zenica | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 10 |
| 10 | FK Sloga Doboj | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Velez Mostar | NK Celik Zenica |
|---|---|---|
| FK Sloga Doboj | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| BSK Banja Luka | 2-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Siroki Brijeg | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Zrinjski Mostar | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| FK Sarajevo | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Zeljeznicar | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Radnik Bijeljina | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Velez Mostar (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Velez Mostar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 09/10 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 02/09 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 28/08 | NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
NK Celik Zenica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 24/10 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 18/10 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 11/10 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/09 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 11/09 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 01/09 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 28/08 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Velez Mostar vs NK Celik Zenica?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Velez Mostar win (52%). Probabilities: Velez Mostar 52%, draw 28%, NK Celik Zenica 20%.
How many goals are expected in Velez Mostar vs NK Celik Zenica?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Velez Mostar 1.48 · NK Celik Zenica 0.83), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Velez Mostar vs NK Celik Zenica?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.