Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Sarajevo

Team pages: Zrinjski Mostar · FK Sarajevo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.97Total

Zrinjski Mostar1.36

FK Sarajevo0.6

1X2

56% 28% 17%

Zrinjski Mostar Draw FK Sarajevo

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

Zrinjski Mostar 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWWWW

FK Sarajevo 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWDDWD

Head-to-head

Zrinjski Mostar 2–2–2 FK Sarajevo (6 last)

FK Sarajevo0-1Zrinjski Mostar
Zrinjski Mostar2-1FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo2-1Zrinjski Mostar
Zrinjski Mostar0-0FK Sarajevo
Zrinjski Mostar0-1FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo1-1Zrinjski Mostar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zrinjski Mostar 1618 · FK Sarajevo 1549

	Zrinjski Mostar	Draw	FK Sarajevo
Our model	54%	30%	15%
Market	57%	25%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zrinjski Mostar (rating 1618 vs 1549).
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zrinjski Mostar	FK Sarajevo
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.2	0.1 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	10/90/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.8	2.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
22:16 +6’	1.57	3.50	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Zrinjski Mostar 2–2–2 FK Sarajevo

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	FK Sarajevo	0-1 HT 0-0	Zrinjski Mostar
04/07/26 Europe Friendlies	Zrinjski Mostar	2-1 HT 2-1	FK Sarajevo
11/04/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	FK Sarajevo	2-1 HT 2-1	Zrinjski Mostar
18/03/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Super Cup	Zrinjski Mostar	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Sarajevo
14/12/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	Zrinjski Mostar	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Sarajevo
06/10/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	FK Sarajevo	1-1 HT 0-0	Zrinjski Mostar

Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Zrinjski Mostar	12	11	0	1	31	7	33
2	Borac Banja Luka	11	9	1	1	23	9	28
3	FK Sarajevo	12	5	4	3	10	7	19
4	Siroki Brijeg	12	3	5	4	11	13	14
5	BSK Banja Luka	12	3	4	5	17	20	13
6	Zeljeznicar	12	3	4	5	12	19	13
7	Radnik Bijeljina	12	2	5	5	18	22	11
8	Velez Mostar	11	3	2	6	9	17	11
9	NK Celik Zenica	12	2	4	6	13	19	10
10	FK Sloga Doboj	12	2	3	7	7	18	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zrinjski Mostar	FK Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar	4-0 W	2-0 W
Radnik Bijeljina	1-0 W	1-1 D
NK Celik Zenica	3-0 W	0-0 D
FK Sloga Doboj	6-2 W	2-0 W
Velez Mostar	2-0 W	0-1 L
Borac Banja Luka	0-1 L	1-0 W
Siroki Brijeg	2-1 W	2-1 W
BSK Banja Luka	3-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Zrinjski Mostar (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zrinjski Mostar

WWWWLWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	3-0	4-0	5	5	W
23/10	Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-0	1-0	7	0	W
18/10	NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	3-0	3	7	W
11/10	FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	2-0	6-2	2	0	W
19/09	Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
12/09	Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-1	0-1	5	10	L
06/09	Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	2-1	2-1	1	5	W
01/09	BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	3-1	7	2	W
29/08	FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
23/08	Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-0	2-0	8	2	W

FK Sarajevo

LWWLLWDDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
24/10	Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	2-0	8	6	W
17/10	Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
11/10	NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	0-0	13	5	D
20/09	FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-0	2-0	4	8	W
13/09	Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
09/09	Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
06/09	Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
02/09	Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	2-1	2	8	W
29/08	Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	0-1	0	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Sarajevo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zrinjski Mostar win (56%). Probabilities: Zrinjski Mostar 56%, draw 28%, FK Sarajevo 17%.

How many goals are expected in Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Sarajevo?

The model expects 1.97 goals (Zrinjski Mostar 1.36 · FK Sarajevo 0.6), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Zrinjski Mostar vs FK Sarajevo?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.