Prediction: BSK Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo

Team pages: BSK Banja Luka · FK Sarajevo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
BSK Banja Luka0.86
FK Sarajevo1.43
1X2
22% 28% 50%
BSK Banja Luka Draw FK Sarajevo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
BSK Banja Luka 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLLLWDDLDW
FK Sarajevo 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WLWWLLWDDW
Head-to-head
BSK Banja Luka 0–1 FK Sarajevo (1 last)
  • FK Sarajevo1-0BSK Banja Luka
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BSK Banja Luka 1493 · FK Sarajevo 1541
BSK Banja LukaDrawFK Sarajevo
Our model21%29%49%
Market23%27%50%
Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Sarajevo (rating 1493 vs 1541).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BSK Banja LukaFK Sarajevo
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.70.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.70.2 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.12.7 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.44.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · BSK Banja Luka 0–0–1 FK Sarajevo

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/08/26
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
FK Sarajevo1-0
HT 1-0
BSK Banja Luka

Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Zrinjski Mostar 111001 27730
2 Borac Banja Luka 10811 19725
3 FK Sarajevo 11533 9618
4 Siroki Brijeg 11353 111114
5 Zeljeznicar 11344 121513
6 BSK Banja Luka 11335 161912
7 NK Celik Zenica 11245 111510
8 FK Sloga Doboj 11236 7179
9 Radnik Bijeljina 11155 16228
10 Velez Mostar 10226 8178

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBSK Banja LukaFK Sarajevo
Velez Mostar 3-2 W 0-1 L
Zeljeznicar 1-1 D 2-0 W
Borac Banja Luka 0-2 L 1-0 W
Radnik Bijeljina 4-4 D 1-1 D
Siroki Brijeg 1-1 D 2-1 W
NK Celik Zenica 3-2 W 0-0 D
Zrinjski Mostar 1-3 L 0-1 L
FK Sloga Doboj 0-1 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 3 L 4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Sarajevo (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BSK Banja Luka

WLLLWDDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Velez Mostar
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
2-0 3-2 56 W
17/10 Zeljeznicar
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
0-1 1-1 35 D
10/10 Borac Banja Luka
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
0-0 0-2 20 L
19/09 Radnik Bijeljina
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
1-2 4-4 139 D
12/09 Siroki Brijeg
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
1-1 1-1 21 D
05/09 NK Celik Zenica
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
0-1 3-2 61 W
01/09 Zrinjski Mostar
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
0-0 1-3 32 L
29/08 FK Sloga Doboj
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
0-1 0-1 35 L
21/08 FK Sarajevo
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
0-1 0-1 13 L
16/08 Velez Mostar
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
1-0 2-0 35 W

FK Sarajevo

WLWWLLWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Zeljeznicar
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
0-0 2-0 86 W
17/10 Radnik Bijeljina
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
0-0 1-1 65 D
11/10 NK Celik Zenica
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
0-0 0-0 135 D
20/09 FK Sloga Doboj
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
1-0 2-0 48 W
13/09 Velez Mostar
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
0-0 0-1 41 L
09/09 Zeljeznicar
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
0-0 0-2 44 L
06/09 Borac Banja Luka
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
0-0 1-0 34 W
02/09 Siroki Brijeg
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
0-0 2-1 28 W
29/08 Zrinjski Mostar
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
0-0 0-1 02 L
21/08 BSK Banja Luka
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
1-0 1-0 83 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BSK Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Sarajevo win (50%). Probabilities: BSK Banja Luka 22%, draw 28%, FK Sarajevo 50%.

How many goals are expected in BSK Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo?

The model expects 2.29 goals (BSK Banja Luka 0.86 · FK Sarajevo 1.43), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in BSK Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.