Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: Siroki Brijeg vs Zeljeznicar

Team pages: Siroki Brijeg · Zeljeznicar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

Siroki Brijeg1.54

Zeljeznicar0.99

1X2

49% 28% 23%

Siroki Brijeg Draw Zeljeznicar

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Siroki Brijeg 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLDLDWDL

Zeljeznicar 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWDDLDLL

Head-to-head

Siroki Brijeg 2–4–0 Zeljeznicar (6 last)

Zeljeznicar1-1Siroki Brijeg
Zeljeznicar2-2Siroki Brijeg
Siroki Brijeg1-1Zeljeznicar
Zeljeznicar3-3Siroki Brijeg
Siroki Brijeg1-0Zeljeznicar
Siroki Brijeg3-2Zeljeznicar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Siroki Brijeg 1476 · Zeljeznicar 1479

	Siroki Brijeg	Draw	Zeljeznicar
Our model	49%	28%	23%
Market	49%	28%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Siroki Brijeg: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Siroki Brijeg	Zeljeznicar
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.2	1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.7	1.4 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.20

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
22:16 +5’	1.85	3.20	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Siroki Brijeg 2–4–0 Zeljeznicar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	Zeljeznicar	1-1 HT 0-0	Siroki Brijeg
21/05/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	Zeljeznicar	2-2 HT 2-1	Siroki Brijeg
22/03/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	Siroki Brijeg	1-1 HT 1-1	Zeljeznicar
04/12/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	Zeljeznicar	3-3 HT 2-3	Siroki Brijeg
21/09/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	Siroki Brijeg	1-0 HT 0-0	Zeljeznicar
18/05/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	Siroki Brijeg	3-2 HT 2-0	Zeljeznicar

Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Zrinjski Mostar	12	11	0	1	31	7	33
2	Borac Banja Luka	11	9	1	1	23	9	28
3	FK Sarajevo	12	5	4	3	10	7	19
4	Siroki Brijeg	12	3	5	4	11	13	14
5	BSK Banja Luka	12	3	4	5	17	20	13
6	Zeljeznicar	12	3	4	5	12	19	13
7	Radnik Bijeljina	12	2	5	5	18	22	11
8	Velez Mostar	11	3	2	6	9	17	11
9	NK Celik Zenica	12	2	4	6	13	19	10
10	FK Sloga Doboj	12	2	3	7	7	18	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Siroki Brijeg	Zeljeznicar
Radnik Bijeljina	0-2 L	1-3 L
NK Celik Zenica	0-0 D	1-1 D
FK Sloga Doboj	1-0 W	1-1 D
Velez Mostar	0-0 D	3-1 W
Borac Banja Luka	2-3 L	0-2 L
BSK Banja Luka	1-1 D	1-1 D
Zrinjski Mostar	1-2 L	0-4 L
FK Sarajevo	1-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 4 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Siroki Brijeg (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Siroki Brijeg

WDLLDLDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
24/10	NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
16/10	FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
09/10	Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
20/09	Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-1	2-3	2	2	L
12/09	BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-1	1-1	7	1	D
06/09	Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-2	1-2	5	5	L
02/09	FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	1-2	0	8	L
29/08	Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	1-1	3	0	D
22/08	Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-1	2-1	8	3	W

Zeljeznicar

DLWWDDLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-3	0-4	4	5	L
24/10	FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	0-2	1	6	L
17/10	BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
11/10	Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	1-0	1-3	1	6	L
18/09	NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
13/09	FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-1	1-1	1	4	D
09/09	FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	2-0	2	4	W
06/09	Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	2-0	3-1	5	1	W
02/09	Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
29/08	Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga	0-0	1-1	5	0	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Siroki Brijeg vs Zeljeznicar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Siroki Brijeg win (49%). Probabilities: Siroki Brijeg 49%, draw 28%, Zeljeznicar 23%.

How many goals are expected in Siroki Brijeg vs Zeljeznicar?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Siroki Brijeg 1.54 · Zeljeznicar 0.99), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Siroki Brijeg vs Zeljeznicar?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.