Football · Hong Kong Premier League · 30/10, 13:00
Prediction: Kowloon City vs HK Rangers FC
Team pages: Kowloon City · HK Rangers FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.69Total
Kowloon City1.94
HK Rangers FC1.75
1X2
Kowloon City
Draw
HK Rangers FC
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Kowloon City
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
HK Rangers FC
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kowloon City
3–1–2
HK Rangers FC
(6 last)
- HK Rangers FC1-2Kowloon City
- Kowloon City5-1HK Rangers FC
- HK Rangers FC2-3Kowloon City
- HK Rangers FC4-0Kowloon City
- Kowloon City0-5HK Rangers FC
- HK Rangers FC2-2Kowloon City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kowloon City 1509 · HK Rangers FC 1369
| Kowloon City | Draw | HK Rangers FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 23% | 35% |
| Market | 42% | 24% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kowloon City (rating 1509 vs 1369).
- H2H favours Kowloon City: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kowloon City | HK Rangers FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.9 | 0.9 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.1 | 2.5 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.4 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kowloon City 3–1–2 HK Rangers FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Hong Kong Premier League | HK Rangers FC | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Kowloon City |
| 01/03/26 Hong Kong Premier League | Kowloon City | 5-1 HT 2-1 | HK Rangers FC |
| 04/10/25 Hong Kong Premier League | HK Rangers FC | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Kowloon City |
| 28/09/25 Hong Kong Senior Shield | HK Rangers FC | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Kowloon City |
| 27/04/25 Hong Kong Premier League | Kowloon City | 0-5 HT 0-3 | HK Rangers FC |
| 15/02/25 Hong Kong Premier League | HK Rangers FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Kowloon City |
Standings · Hong Kong Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North District | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 16 |
| 2 | Kitchee | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Lee Man FC | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Tai Po | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
| 5 | Southern District | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| 6 | Eastern SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 4 |
| 7 | Shatin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
| 8 | Kowloon City | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
| 9 | Eastern District | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 4 |
| 10 | Hong Kong FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
| 11 | HK Rangers FC | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kowloon City | HK Rangers FC |
|---|---|---|
| Tai Po | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Eastern SC | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Lee Man FC | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Hong Kong FC | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Eastern District | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Kowloon City (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kowloon City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Shatin Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Southern District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 23/08 | Lee Man FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Hong Kong FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | HK Rangers FC Hong Kong Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Southern District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Eastern District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Southern District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
HK Rangers FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Lee Man FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Eastern SC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | North District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Tai Po Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | Eastern District Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Kitchee Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Eastern District Hong Kong Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Hong Kong FC Hong Kong Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Kowloon City Hong Kong Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kowloon City vs HK Rangers FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kowloon City win (42%). Probabilities: Kowloon City 42%, draw 24%, HK Rangers FC 34%.
How many goals are expected in Kowloon City vs HK Rangers FC?
The model expects 3.69 goals (Kowloon City 1.94 · HK Rangers FC 1.75), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Kowloon City vs HK Rangers FC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.