Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 30/10, 18:00

Prediction: KFC Komarno B vs OFK Dunajska Luzna

Team pages: KFC Komarno B · OFK Dunajska Luzna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

KFC Komarno B1.24

OFK Dunajska Luzna1.65

1X2

28% 25% 46%

KFC Komarno B Draw OFK Dunajska Luzna

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

KFC Komarno B 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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OFK Dunajska Luzna 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KFC Komarno B 1482 · OFK Dunajska Luzna 1554

	KFC Komarno B	Draw	OFK Dunajska Luzna
Our model	28%	27%	46%
Market	29%	24%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours OFK Dunajska Luzna (rating 1482 vs 1554).
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KFC Komarno B	OFK Dunajska Luzna
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.3	1.4 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.2	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2.4	3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.75

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.80

2 (-0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:58 +9’	3.10	3.75	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nitra	12	11	1	0	45	10	34
2	OFK Dunajska Luzna	12	7	3	2	17	10	24
3	Puchov	12	6	4	2	23	8	22
4	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	12	6	2	4	22	19	20
5	Spartak Myjava	12	5	4	3	21	15	19
6	TJ Kovo Belusa	13	4	6	3	26	21	18
7	FK Nove Zamky	12	5	3	4	15	18	18
8	MSK Senec	13	5	1	7	13	22	16
9	FC Banik Prievidza	12	5	1	6	19	21	16
10	Dunajska Streda B	12	4	3	5	22	19	15
11	AS Trencin B	12	4	2	6	23	23	14
12	KFC Komarno B	12	4	2	6	15	28	14
13	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	12	3	3	6	18	29	12
14	OK Castkovce	12	3	2	7	18	27	11
15	Raca Bratislava	12	2	4	6	14	26	10
16	Slovan Duslo Šala	12	1	3	8	8	23	6

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KFC Komarno B	OFK Dunajska Luzna
Raca Bratislava	3-0 W	2-1 W
Slovan Duslo Šala	1-0 W	1-0 W
Dunajska Streda B	0-4 L	3-0 W
FC Banik Prievidza	1-4 L	2-1 W
OK Castkovce	2-3 L	1-0 W
MSK Senec	2-1 W	0-1 L
SK 1923 Gabcikovo	1-0 W	1-1 D
TJ Kovo Belusa	0-5 L	2-2 D
AS Trencin B	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 4 L	6 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: OFK Dunajska Luzna (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KFC Komarno B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FC Nitra Slovakia 3. Liga	0-3	1-5	5	2	L
18/10	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	2	6	W
11/10	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
04/10	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-4	3	3	L
25/09	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	0-3	1-4	2	2	L
19/09	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
13/09	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
04/09	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-5	1	3	L
22/08	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-1	0	4	D

OFK Dunajska Luzna

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
17/10	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	14	6	W
10/10	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	2	6	W
03/10	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
18/09	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
12/09	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
06/09	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	4	6	D
29/08	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	10	1	W
22/08	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KFC Komarno B vs OFK Dunajska Luzna?

According to our model, the most likely result is an OFK Dunajska Luzna win (46%). Probabilities: KFC Komarno B 28%, draw 25%, OFK Dunajska Luzna 46%.

How many goals are expected in KFC Komarno B vs OFK Dunajska Luzna?

The model expects 2.9 goals (KFC Komarno B 1.24 · OFK Dunajska Luzna 1.65), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KFC Komarno B vs OFK Dunajska Luzna?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.