Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 07/11, 17:00

Prediction: FC Nitra vs OFK Dunajska Luzna

Team pages: FC Nitra · OFK Dunajska Luzna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

FC Nitra2.43

OFK Dunajska Luzna0.99

1X2

69% 17% 14%

FC Nitra Draw OFK Dunajska Luzna

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Nitra 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

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OFK Dunajska Luzna 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Nitra 2–0 OFK Dunajska Luzna (2 last)

OFK Dunajska Luzna0-1FC Nitra
FC Nitra5-0OFK Dunajska Luzna

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Nitra 1619 · OFK Dunajska Luzna 1566

	FC Nitra	Draw	OFK Dunajska Luzna
Our model	68%	19%	13%
Market	70%	16%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Nitra (rating 1619 vs 1566).
H2H favours FC Nitra: 2-0-0.
High corners: 15.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Nitra	OFK Dunajska Luzna
Goals for / against (FT)	4.2 / 0.8	1.5 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	2.1 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/10/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.1 / 8.3	3.4 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.75

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.90

2 (+1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 08:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.27 → 1.28▲	Bet365 1.28
X	5.75 → 5.75	Pinn 6.33
2	7.00 → 6.25▼	Pinn 9.67 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:29 +4’	1.27	5.75	7.00
01:02 +10’	1.33▲	5.50▼	6.00▼
08:22 +3’	1.28▼	5.75▲	6.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:22 +58’	1.26	5.35	6.89
08:17 +8’	1.16▼	6.33▲	9.67▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Nitra 2–0–0 OFK Dunajska Luzna

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/16 Slovakia 2. Liga	OFK Dunajska Luzna	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Nitra
15/09/15 Slovakia 2. Liga	FC Nitra	5-0 HT 3-0	OFK Dunajska Luzna

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nitra	12	11	1	0	45	10	34
2	OFK Dunajska Luzna	13	8	3	2	19	10	27
3	Puchov	13	7	4	2	31	9	25
4	Spartak Myjava	13	6	4	3	24	16	22
5	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	12	6	2	4	22	19	20
6	TJ Kovo Belusa	13	4	6	3	26	21	18
7	FK Nove Zamky	12	5	3	4	15	18	18
8	Dunajska Streda B	13	5	3	5	24	19	18
9	MSK Senec	13	5	1	7	13	22	16
10	FC Banik Prievidza	12	5	1	6	19	21	16
11	OK Castkovce	13	4	2	7	19	27	14
12	KFC Komarno B	13	4	2	7	15	30	14
13	AS Trencin B	13	4	2	7	23	24	14
14	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	13	3	3	7	18	31	12
15	Raca Bratislava	14	2	4	8	16	37	10
16	Slovan Duslo Šala	12	1	3	8	8	23	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Nitra	OFK Dunajska Luzna
KFC Komarno B	5-1 W	2-0 W
TJ Kovo Belusa	4-2 W	2-2 D
Raca Bratislava	6-0 W	2-1 W
AS Trencin B	4-2 W	1-0 W
Slovan Duslo Šala	4-0 W	1-0 W
Dunajska Streda B	2-1 W	3-0 W
FC Banik Prievidza	2-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 0 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Nitra (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Nitra

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	3-0	5-1	8	2	W
18/10	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	4-2	7	1	W
10/10	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	4-0	6-0	7	1	W
04/10	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	4-2	6	5	W
26/09	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	3-0	4-0	8	6	W
19/09	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	5-1	–	–	W
12/09	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	2-1	11	3	W
06/09	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
29/08	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	2-0	11	5	W
23/08	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	3-0	5-1	–	–	W

OFK Dunajska Luzna

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	2-0	2-0	8	1	W
24/10	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
17/10	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	14	6	W
10/10	Dunajska Streda B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	3-0	2	6	W
03/10	FC Banik Prievidza Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	OK Castkovce Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
18/09	MSK Senec Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
12/09	SK 1923 Gabcikovo Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
06/09	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	4	6	D
29/08	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	10	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Nitra vs OFK Dunajska Luzna?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Nitra win (69%). Probabilities: FC Nitra 69%, draw 17%, OFK Dunajska Luzna 14%.

How many goals are expected in FC Nitra vs OFK Dunajska Luzna?

The model expects 3.42 goals (FC Nitra 2.43 · OFK Dunajska Luzna 0.99), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Nitra vs OFK Dunajska Luzna?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.