Football · Slovakia 3. Liga · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: SK 1923 Gabcikovo vs MSK Senec

Team pages: SK 1923 Gabcikovo · MSK Senec

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

SK 1923 Gabcikovo1.9

MSK Senec1.06

1X2

56% 24% 20%

SK 1923 Gabcikovo Draw MSK Senec

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

SK 1923 Gabcikovo 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDDLWLWW

MSK Senec 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLLWDW

Head-to-head

SK 1923 Gabcikovo 1–1–0 MSK Senec (2 last)

MSK Senec1-1SK 1923 Gabcikovo
SK 1923 Gabcikovo1-0MSK Senec

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK 1923 Gabcikovo 1522 · MSK Senec 1463

	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	Draw	MSK Senec
Our model	56%	24%	20%
Market	57%	23%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK 1923 Gabcikovo (rating 1522 vs 1463).
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	MSK Senec
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	0.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.2	2.8 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	5.4 / 0.8

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.90

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:07 +11’	1.57	3.90	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK 1923 Gabcikovo 1–1–0 MSK Senec

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Slovakia 3. Liga	MSK Senec	1-1 HT 0-0	SK 1923 Gabcikovo
18/10/25 Slovakia 3. Liga	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	1-0 HT 0-0	MSK Senec

Standings · Slovakia 3. Liga · 3. Liga 26/27, West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Nitra	12	11	1	0	45	10	34
2	OFK Dunajska Luzna	13	8	3	2	19	10	27
3	Puchov	13	7	4	2	31	9	25
4	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	12	6	2	4	22	19	20
5	Spartak Myjava	12	5	4	3	21	15	19
6	TJ Kovo Belusa	13	4	6	3	26	21	18
7	FK Nove Zamky	12	5	3	4	15	18	18
8	Dunajska Streda B	13	5	3	5	24	19	18
9	MSK Senec	13	5	1	7	13	22	16
10	FC Banik Prievidza	12	5	1	6	19	21	16
11	OK Castkovce	13	4	2	7	19	27	14
12	KFC Komarno B	13	4	2	7	15	30	14
13	AS Trencin B	13	4	2	7	23	24	14
14	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	13	3	3	7	18	31	12
15	Raca Bratislava	13	2	4	7	15	34	10
16	Slovan Duslo Šala	12	1	3	8	8	23	6

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK 1923 Gabcikovo	MSK Senec
TJ Kovo Belusa	3-2 W	2-2 D
AS Trencin B	3-2 W	1-0 W
FK Nove Zamky	1-2 L	1-0 W
Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince	5-2 W	1-3 L
Spartak Myjava	0-2 L	0-1 L
Puchov	1-1 D	0-5 L
OFK Dunajska Luzna	1-1 D	1-0 W
KFC Komarno B	0-1 L	1-2 L
Raca Bratislava	2-1 W	0-1 L
Slovan Duslo Šala	2-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: SK 1923 Gabcikovo (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK 1923 Gabcikovo

WWLDDLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	2-2	3-2	10	8	W
17/10	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
10/10	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-2	7	3	L
03/10	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	5-2	–	–	W
25/09	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
19/09	Puchov Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
12/09	OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
04/09	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
30/08	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	2-1	2-1	3	4	W
22/08	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	2-0	9	3	W

MSK Senec

LLLWLLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	AS Trencin B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
21/10	TJ Kovo Belusa Slovakia 3. Liga	1-2	2-2	5	9	D
16/10	FK Nove Zamky Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
10/10	Tj Druzstevnik Velke Ludince Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
02/10	Spartak Myjava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
26/09	Puchov Slovakia 3. Liga	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
18/09	OFK Dunajska Luzna Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
13/09	KFC Komarno B Slovakia 3. Liga	1-1	1-2	7	5	L
04/09	Raca Bratislava Slovakia 3. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	10	L
29/08	Slovan Duslo Šala Slovakia 3. Liga	1-0	1-3	6	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK 1923 Gabcikovo vs MSK Senec?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK 1923 Gabcikovo win (56%). Probabilities: SK 1923 Gabcikovo 56%, draw 24%, MSK Senec 20%.

How many goals are expected in SK 1923 Gabcikovo vs MSK Senec?

The model expects 2.95 goals (SK 1923 Gabcikovo 1.9 · MSK Senec 1.06), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SK 1923 Gabcikovo vs MSK Senec?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.