Prediction: Urena SC vs Monagas II
Team pages: Urena SC · Monagas II
| Urena SC | Draw | Monagas II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 25% | 43% |
| Market | 31% | 26% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Monagas II (rating 1448 vs 1523).
- Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Urena SC | Monagas II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.2 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 5.2 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.3 | 5.6 / 0.5 |
Standings · Venezuela Segunda Division · Segunda Division 2026, Central-West
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Lara | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 56 | 24 | 70 |
| 2 | Barquisimeto | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 56 |
| 3 | Yaracuyanos | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 50 | 31 | 55 |
| 4 | Urena SC | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 43 | 48 |
| 5 | Zamora II | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 55 | 49 | 46 |
| 6 | Atletico El Vigia | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 43 | 52 | 44 |
| 7 | Academia Puerto Cabello II | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 39 | 52 | 34 |
| 8 | Atletico Barinas | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 50 | 63 | 32 |
| 9 | Real Frontera | 32 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 27 | 74 | 15 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Urena SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 18/10 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 11/10 | Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 04/10 | Atletico Barinas Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | Barquisimeto Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Zamora II Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 17/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello II Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 13/09 | Real Frontera Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | CD Lara Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 11 | L |
| 02/09 | Yaracuyanos Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
Monagas II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/10 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 27/09 | Mineros Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 13/09 | Dynamo Puerto FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Aragua Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Deportivo Miranda FC Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Atletico Avila Venezuela Segunda Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Bolivar SC Venezuela Segunda Division |
2-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Urena SC vs Monagas II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Monagas II win (43%). Probabilities: Urena SC 31%, draw 26%, Monagas II 43%.
How many goals are expected in Urena SC vs Monagas II?
The model expects 3.17 goals (Urena SC 1.45 · Monagas II 1.72), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Urena SC vs Monagas II?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.